Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 30

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Groningen		De Graafschap

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.52	3.9	5.5
	1.62	4.33	4.75
	1.57	4.59	5.9
	1.57	4.59	5.45
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.55	4.25	5.43	Watch
	1.49	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)	4.28 ↓ (4.36)	5.43 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Groningen
60.8%

Draw
21.9%

De Graafschap
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

21.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

21.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groningen's performance.

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and De Graafschap might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groningen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that De Graafschap could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Groningen - De Graafschap Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jurjus H. (G) 8. Bacuna L. 5. Rente M. 43. Peersman M. 18. Maatta I. 14. Schreuders J. 6. Duarte L. 7. Hove J. 40. Valente L. 29. Postema R. 25. van Bergen T.	35. Jansen T. (G) 22. Fortes J. 14. Hardeman J. 4. Schenk X. 28. Buttner A. 23. Brittijn P. 8. Warmerdam D. 34. Yadir A. 11. Colyn S. 30. van Gilst T. 15. Seuntjens R.
Substitutes
15. Bakker N. 45. Baron D. (G) 26. Beukers D. 20. Blokzijl T. 22. Emeran N. 17. Lien K. 44. Meijster J. (G) 27. Mendes R. 4. Pelupessy J. 50. Prins W. 38. Slor K. 42. Turay F.	1. Bakker M. (G) 18. Buttner G. 9. Haen D. 26. Hassan B. 6. Kaak L. 13. Kanga J. 10. Mahi M. 25. Schoppema L. 42. Wevers S. 16. Wieggers T. (G) 24. Willemsen M.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Vreman J.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 4.

Groningen is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches De Graafschap is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Groningen is a favorite.

There are questionable in Groningen: Prins W. (Knock)

There are questionable in De Graafschap: Hillen R. (Knee Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Groningen won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.03.24	Jong PSV - Groningen	2:3 ✺
08.03.24	Groningen - MVV Maastricht	3:0 ✺
04.03.24	Den Bosch - Groningen	1:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.02.24	Feyenoord - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.02.24	Groningen - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLT
- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.03.24	De Graafschap - Jong Ajax	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Cambuur - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	De Graafschap - FC Oss	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	De Graafschap - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.10.23	De Graafschap - Groningen	2:1
Club Friendly
28.07.23	Groningen - De Graafschap	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
02.04.19	Groningen - De Graafschap	1:0
25.08.18	De Graafschap - Groningen	0:1
Club Friendly
24.07.18	De Graafschap - Groningen	1:3
Dutch Eredivisie
10.04.16	Groningen - De Graafschap	3:1
21.11.15	De Graafschap - Groningen	1:2

Upcoming Matches