Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 22

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)


	Roda		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.5
	1.72	3.95	4.15
	1.77	4	4.3
	1.8	3.96	3.93	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.75	3.88	4.13	Watch
	1.72	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.72)	3.84 ↑ (3.68)	4.05 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
52.8%

Draw
24.2%

VVV-Venlo
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

27%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Roda - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roda will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 15. Beerten L. 5. Jansen K. 8. Muller J. P. 4. Nisbet J. 14. Breij M. 9. van den Hurk A. (C) 11. Griffith I. 16. Cooper-Love J.	13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 23. Sbai Y. 33. Blancquart G. (C) 16. Heise P. 5. de Blok L. 20. Eijgenraam J. 25. Foor N. 27. Kromah L. 8. van Oorschot D. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 9. Zandbergen D.
Substitutes
24. Deom J. 26. El Meliani R. 28. Foss J. 35. Janssen F. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 6. Paulissen M. 7. Seedorf C. 23. Steins J. (G) 29. Takidine I. 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)	1. Doornbusch T. (G) 15. Joosten T. 6. Kluskens J. 26. Matoug N. 17. Saddiki D. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 18. van Zijl B. 3. Verheij L. 42. Vullers R. 7. Wehmeyer L.
Coaches
van Dessel K.	Uneken P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Eijgenraam J. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Heise P. (Penalty Awarded),
16', van den Hurk A. (Penalty Awarded),
16', 1 - 1, Nisbet J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Kruiver J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', van Oorschot D. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
46', Eijgenraam J. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
55', Kromah L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
65', Foor N. ↓, Saddiki D. ↑,
70', Breij M. ↓, Takidine I. ↑,
81', de Blok L. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
82', van den Hurk A. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, van Zijl B. ⚽, Zandbergen D. (A),
89', Griffith I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
90+1', Paulissen M. 🟨,

Preview

Postponed due to bad weather.

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Roda is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Roda: Breij M. (Yellow Cards) Kother T. (Knee Injury) Paulissen M. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury) Van den Buijs D. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Roda won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Venlo	12	8	1	3	34:20	14	25
5	Roda	12	6	4	2	15:11	4	22

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Venlo: 10.44% Roda: 5.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Roda - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.24%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.01.26	Roda - FC Oss	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Jong Ajax - Roda	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Schalke U23 - Roda	7:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.25	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Roda - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLWL
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.01.26	Willem II - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.08.25	VVV-Venlo - Roda	3:1
29.03.25	Roda - VVV-Venlo	1:4
25.08.24	VVV-Venlo - Roda	1:1
07.04.24	Roda - VVV-Venlo	2:1
14.10.23	VVV-Venlo - Roda	1:1
19.03.23	VVV-Venlo - Roda	1:1
07.10.22	Roda - VVV-Venlo	4:1

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