Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 18

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra


	Groningen		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.66	4	4.8
	1.72	3.7	4.9
	1.67	3.85	5.12	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.68	3.88	5.65	Watch
	1.63	3.66	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	3.77 ↓ (3.92)	5.15 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
56.6%

Draw
25.1%

NAC Breda
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	8.8%	5.9%

Groningen - NAC Breda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Breda (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Groningen will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Groningen (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Breda (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 8. de Jonge T. 26. van Bergen T. 6. Resink S. (C) 14. Schreuders J. 9. Willumsson B. 10. Taha Y.	99. Bielica D. (G) 7. Brym C. 25. Valerius C. 3. Odoi D. 22. Hillen R. 4. Kemper B. (C) 16. Balard M. 90. Holtby L. 14. Sowah K. 17. van Hooijdonk S. 9. Soumano M.
Substitutes
57. Eggens N. 11. Emeran N. 7. Hernes T. 69. Hoekstra M. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 48. Kelder R. 18. Land T. 27. Mendes R. 2. Prins W. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 17. van der Werff D. 19. Zawada O.	24. Ayew A. 21. Candelaria J. 55. Ghalidi B. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 8. Leemans C. 2. Lucassen B. 15. Mahmutovic E. 10. Nassoh M. 11. Paula R. 6. Staring C. 32. Talvitie J. 23. Versluis D.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Hoefkens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Valerius C. 🟨,
41', Sowah K. 🟨,
41', Peersman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Soumano M. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
65', Willumsson B. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
72', Taha Y. ↓, van der Werff D. ↑,
77', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
85', Brym C. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
85', Kemper B. ↓, Candelaria J. ↑,
86', Holtby L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
86', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
86', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 2.

Groningen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Breda has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Groningen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Groningen is the team to beat.

There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Injury) Jensen F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Candelaria J. (Injury) Kongolo T. (Health problems)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

NAC Breda: 8.03% Groningen: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Groningen - Bodø Glimt	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Groningen - Volendam	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Excelsior - Groningen	0:2 ✺
02.12.25	Ajax - Groningen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWL
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
20.12.25	NAC Breda - Telstar	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	NAC Breda - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Excelsior - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
03.10.25	NAC Breda - Groningen	1:2
29.03.25	NAC Breda - Groningen	1:1
09.08.24	Groningen - NAC Breda	4:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.04.24	Groningen - NAC Breda	1:1
06.10.23	NAC Breda - Groningen	3:2
Dutch Eredivisie
23.02.19	NAC Breda - Groningen	0:0
02.12.18	Groningen - NAC Breda	5:2

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