The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
VVV-Venlo 54.4%
Draw 22.4%
Jong Ajax 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.3%
21.6%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
21.8%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.5%
30.8%
30.8%
VVV Venlo - Jong Ajax Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 12% – 65%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Venlo (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 23. Sbai Y. 3. Verheij L. 15. Joosten T. 5. de Blok L. 26. Matoug N. 17. Saddiki D. (C) 24. Odriss M. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 18. van Zijl B. 9. Zandbergen D.
1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. Appiah A. 3. van der Lans M. (C) 4. Muzungu M. 5. Butera E. 10. Ouazane A. 6. Peters T. 8. Abdalla M. 7. Nash P. 9. Vink S. 11. Jetten L.
Substitutes
31. Davis M. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 20. Eijgenraam J. 25. Foor N. 6. Kluskens J. 27. Kromah L. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 4. Timber D. 10. Triep J. 8. van Oorschot D. 42. Vullers R. 7. Wehmeyer L.
19. Acheampong L. 12. el Hani A. (G) 16. Frankel L. 21. Kalokoh D. 15. Kasanwirjo K. 20. Ouazane Z. 17. Tilborg S. 18. van der Vaart D.
Coaches
Uneken P.
Nuijten P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Ouazane A. 🟨,
44', Sbai Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Joosten T. 🟨,
53', Matoug N. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
65', Odriss M. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
65', Saddiki D. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
65', Butera E. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Kalokoh D. ⚽, Nash P. (A),
74', van Zijl B. ↓, Triep J. ↑,
74', de Blok L. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
77', Nash P. ↓, Acheampong L. ↑,
78', Acheampong L. 🟨,
88', Peters T. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
88', Ouazane A. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
89', Appiah A. 🟨,
89', Foor N. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 4.
Recent form of Venlo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Jong Ajax is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Venlo is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Venlo: Blancquart G.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Jong Ajax: O'Niel D.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
Netherlands
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Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 
Saddiki D. (C) 
Muzungu M. 
Butera E. 
Doornbusch T. (G) 
Taylan Z. (G) 
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