Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 30

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Seacon - De Koel (Venlo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)


	VVV-Venlo		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.8	2.45
	2.42	3.7	2.58	Watch
	2.48	3.9	2.6
	2.55	3.79	2.45	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.5
	2.46	3.81	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.4)	3.77 ↑ (3.72)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
38.1%

Draw
24.8%

Waalwijk
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.2%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

VVV Venlo - Waalwijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Waalwijk (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Venlo (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 23. Sbai Y. 3. Verheij L. 15. Joosten T. 16. Heise P. 20. Eijgenraam J. 8. van Oorschot D. 25. Foor N. (C) 7. Wehmeyer L. 9. Zandbergen D. 27. Kromah L.	16. Spenkelink M. (G) 55. Held N. 3. van Eijma R. 15. Wouters L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 35. Postma L. 20. Kuster H. 12. Fage R. 6. Roemeratoe G. (C) 7. Cleonise D. 9. Uneken J.
Substitutes
11. Ait Mouhou N. 33. Blancquart G. 5. de Blok L. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 6. Kluskens J. 26. Matoug N. 24. Odriss M. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 4. Timber D. 10. Triep J. 18. van Zijl B. 42. Vullers R.	14. Boetius J-P. 26. Bramel T. (G) 29. Kramer M. 21. Schaapman M. 28. van Beekveld Q. 11. van der Leij T. 30. van der Veen Y. 18. van Hedel R. 8. van Kaam D. 1. van Osch Y. (G) 25. Witteveen M.
Coaches
Uneken P.	Duits S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Heise P. ↓, de Blok L. ↑,
46', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Kuster H. ⚽, Fage R. (A),
67', Kromah L. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Fage R. ⚽,
75', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
75', Cleonise D. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,
75', Kuster H. ↓, van der Veen Y. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, van der Leij T. ⚽, van der Veen Y. (A),
79', Fage R. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
81', van Oorschot D. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
81', Joosten T. ↓, Blancquart G. ↑,
87', Postma L. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
90', van Eijma R. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Venlo: Triep J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R. (Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Venlo	12	8	1	3	34:20	14	25
11	Waalwijk	12	3	7	2	21:17	4	16

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Venlo: 10.44% Waalwijk: 4.6%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.02.26	ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	VVV-Venlo - FC Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWT
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.02.26	Waalwijk - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Cambuur - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Waalwijk - Roda	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Willem II - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Waalwijk - FC Oss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.12.25	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
08.05.21	VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk	3:3
05.12.20	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	3:2
25.01.20	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	1:2
03.08.19	VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk	3:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.04.17	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	1:2
28.11.16	VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk	4:0

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