The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Emmen 59.6%
Draw 20.8%
Jong Ajax 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
21%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
20.5%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.3%
14.3%
21.4%
Emmen - Jong Ajax Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
AH +0.25 - Jong Ajax (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
38. Unbehaun L. (G) 36. Everink L. 3. Sondergaard P. 2. Mukeh J. 17. Larsen L. 8. Bakir A. 6. Staring C. 30. Hojabrpour A. 11. Amadin N. 9. Postema R. 10. Besuijen V. (C)
1. Heerkens J. (G) 2. Appiah A. 3. Bouwman A. 4. van der Lans M. (C) 5. Butera E. 8. Johnson J. 6. van de Pavert R. 10. Peters T. 7. O'Niel D. 9. Konadu D. 11. Jetten L.
Substitutes
34. Bolk G. 1. Bucker K. (G) 18. Evina F. 77. Gerezgiher F. 5. Geypens T. 25. Kongolo R. 24. Mesbahi J. 21. Nunumete D. 4. Ostergaard C. 12. Quispel F. 29. Sadiku A. 15. Sunder C.
17. Abdalla M. 19. Acheampong L. 12. el Hani A. (G) 22. Kalokoh D. 15. Kasanwirjo K. 16. Muzungu M. 23. Nash P. 18. Ouazane A. 21. Ouazane Z. 20. Vink S.
Coaches
van Dam M.
Weijs W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Staring C. 🟨,
52', Bakir A. 🟨,
57', Johnson J. 🟨,
59', Bakir A. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
59', Hojabrpour A. ↓, Kongolo R. ↑,
61', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
61', Jetten L. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
61', Johnson J. ↓, Abdalla M. ↑,
66', Sondergaard P. 🟨,
66', O'Niel D. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
68', Mukeh J. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
68', Amadin N. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
85', van de Pavert R. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
87', Gerezgiher F. 🟨,
87', Staring C. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
88', Geypens T. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 4.
In recent matches, Emmen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jong Ajax's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jong Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Emmen is the team to beat.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.8:1.4).
Watch
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Unbehaun L. (G) 
Everink L. 
Sondergaard P. 
Hojabrpour A. 
Butera E. 
Evina F. 
Gerezgiher F. 
Geypens T. 
Mesbahi J. 
Sadiku A. 
Muzungu M. 
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