Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 27

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	16:30	Canal+, ESPN


	Vitesse		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.72	3.95	4.15	Watch
	1.76	4.05	4.23
	1.78	3.95	4.01	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4
	1.74	3.91	4.22	Watch
	1.69	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)	3.94 ↑ (3.75)	4.14 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitesse
53.9%

Draw
23.7%

VVV-Venlo
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Vitesse - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Venlo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Vitesse (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. van den Berg C. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 17. Zumberi V. 35. Achouitar O. 28. Buttner A. (C) 33. Marschalk M. 6. Schikora M. 13. Pinto J. 19. Tahaui A. 21. Schwarz R. 20. Bannis N.	13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 23. Sbai Y. 3. Verheij L. 16. Heise P. 5. de Blok L. 17. Saddiki D. 25. Foor N. (C) 26. Matoug N. 9. Zandbergen D. 8. van Oorschot D. 18. van Zijl B.
Substitutes
40. Bernardina J. 31. Brull M. (G) 30. Driezen M. 9. Huth E. 8. Moustafa A. 43. Olde Keizer C. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 38. te Veluwe K. 22. Thenu X. 27. Zonneveld N.	11. Ait Mouhou N. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 20. Eijgenraam J. 45. Janssen T. 15. Joosten T. 6. Kluskens J. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 42. Vullers R. 7. Wehmeyer L.
Coaches
Rehm R.	Uneken P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Schikora M. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Pinto J. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
38', van Zijl B. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Verheij L. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Matoug N. (A),
61', de Blok L. 🟨,
65', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
65', Schwarz R. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
66', Saddiki D. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
66', Matoug N. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
72', Ait Mouhou N. 🟨,
75', Verheij L. ↓, Joosten T. ↑,
75', Sbai Y. ↓, Vullers R. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Ait Mouhou N. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
86', Bonnah S. ↓, te Veluwe K. ↑,
86', Ouallil Y. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Huth E. ⚽, Achouitar O. (A),
90', Wehmeyer L. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vitesse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vitesse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vitesse: Hoogewerf D. (Yellow Cards) Steffen M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury) Triep J. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Venlo	12	8	1	3	34:20	14	25
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16:17	-1	17

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Venlo: 10.44% Vitesse: 2.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.02.26	FC Oss - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Vitesse - FC Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Vitesse - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	ADO Den Haag - Vitesse	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Vitesse - ADO Den Haag	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTLTW
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.02.26	VVV-Venlo - FC Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
26.01.26	Roda - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Willem II - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	1:2
12.01.25	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	1:4
16.08.24	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	0:1
Club Friendly
22.07.22	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.03.21	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.21	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	4:1
27.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	4:1

Upcoming Matches