Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Referee: Pizzi A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Vado		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.00	2.75
	2.23	2.90	2.95	Watch
	2.44	3.20	3.03
	2.42	3.11	2.84	Watch
	2.35	3.10	3.00
	2.48	3.23	2.81	Watch
	2.34	3.05	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)	3.08 ↓ (3.26)	2.9 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
38.7%

Draw
29.7%

Sambenedettese
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.2%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Vado - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bellocci A. (G) 17. Lazzarini M. 18. Piana L. 14. Gulinelli F. 31. Ferro M. 27. Hergheligiu D. 28. Hamlili Z. 97. Rosa F. 25. Candiano M. 11. Vita D. (C) 95. Cernigoi I.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 4. Zini A. 17. Pezzola L. 29. Camigliano A. 30. Nicoli S. 37. Toure M. 6. Piccoli M. 8. Tunjov G. 18. Candellori K. (C) 9. Sgarbi L. 93. Magnaghi S.
Substitutes
81. Agostino N. 80. Bruno K. 1. Calvani S. (G) 3. Carlini C. 20. De Rinaldis M. 21. Di Munno A. 32. Ghezzi A. 9. Lischetti L. 29. Saiani F. 16. Sala A. (G) 10. Simonetta J. 4. Viti M.	38. Buljan L. 20. Carinelli M. 5. Chelli M. 1. Cultraro G. (G) 90. Kosijer S. 21. Perrotta F. 14. Plicco E. 11. Stabile D. P.
Coaches
Riolfo G.	D'Alesio F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Candellori K. ⚽, Magnaghi S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Lazzarini M. 🟨,
58', Camigliano A. ↓, Chelli M. ↑,
58', Magnaghi S. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
66', Chelli M. 🟨,
69', Vita D. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Krapikas T. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Cernigoi I. (Penalty Awarded),
76', 2 - 1, Vita D. ⚽, Ferro M. (A),
76', Vita D. 🟨,
77', Pezzola L. ↓, Plicco E. ↑,
82', Zini A. 🟨,
87', Candiano M. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
87', Vita D. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
90', Plicco E. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Stabile D. P. ⚽, Tunjov G. (A),

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 19th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Vado	10	3	3	4	10:10	0	12
18	Sambenedettese	10	1	4	5	14:17	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Vado - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.43%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.26	Perugia - Vado	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Vado - Forlì	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Sassari Torres - Vado	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Vado - Pescara	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Livorno - Vado	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWTLL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.26	Sambenedettese - Latina	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Grosseto - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sambenedettese - Atalanta U23	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLTL

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