Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Valenciennes		Clermont

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	1.95	Watch
	4.25	3	1.95
	3.9	3	2.05	Watch
	4.1	3	1.96
	4.33	3.15	2.06
	4.33	3	2	Watch
	4.3	2.98	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.57)	3.02 ↑ (2.99)	2.01 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
22.1%

Draw
31.1%

Clermont
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

31.5%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

23.1%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clermont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valenciennes - Clermont Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 8).

Valenciennes has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Clermont has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Clermont could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Clermont is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
24.10.20	Troyes - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
17.10.20	Valenciennes - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
03.10.20	Grenoble - Valenciennes	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	Valenciennes - Caen	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Dunkerque - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLWL
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
24.10.20	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:2 ✺
16.10.20	Chambly - Clermont	0:3 ✺
03.10.20	Clermont - Rodez	3:0 ✺
28.09.20	Troyes - Clermont	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Clermont - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.02.20	Clermont - Valenciennes	3:1
30.08.19	Valenciennes - Clermont	1:0
08.02.19	Clermont - Valenciennes	0:1
31.08.18	Valenciennes - Clermont	0:4
16.01.18	Clermont - Valenciennes	3:0
11.08.17	Valenciennes - Clermont	0:0
19.05.17	Clermont - Valenciennes	1:0

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