Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 27

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Voyo
France	Amazon Prime Video
Serbia	Arena Sport
International	beIN Sports Connect


	Clermont		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.25
	3.35	3.35	2.18	Watch
	3.45	3.44	2.23
	3.45	3.44	2.23
	3.3	3.3	2.2
	3.46	3.44	2.3	Watch
	3.4	3.45	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.01)	3.39 ↓ (3.41)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
28.6%

Draw
28.3%

Toulouse
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

27.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	42.1%	47.4%

Clermont - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. N'Diaye M. (G) 2. Zeffane M. 4. Matsima C. 17. Pelmard A. 22. Armougom Y. 7. Magnin Y. (C) 5. Caufriez M. 11. Allevinah J. 10. Muhammed Cham 8. Boutobba B. 26. Virginius A.	50. Restes G. (G) 6. Costa L. 2. Nicolaisen R. 13. Mawissa Elebi C. 3. Desler M. 24. Casseres C. (C) 8. Sierro V. 17. Suazo G. 19. Magri F. 37. Gboho Y. 9. Dallinga T.
Substitutes
13. Baallal A. 91. Bela J. 16. Borne T. (G) 97. Jacquet J. 6. Keita H. 95. Kyei G. 28. M'Bahia I. 23. Nicholson S. 21. Ogier F.	7. Aboukhlal Z. 80. Babicka S. 10. Cissoko I. 23. Diarra M. 30. Dominguez A. (G) 5. Genreau D. 12. Kamanzi W. 25. Keben K. 20. Schmidt N.
Coaches
Gastien P.	Martinez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Caufriez M. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Sierro V. (Pen),
17', Sierro V. 🟨,
45+4', Armougom Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Desler M. ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
61', Allevinah J. ↓, Keita H. ↑,
62', Boutobba B. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Dallinga T. ⚽, Magri F. (A),
74', Magri F. ↓, Aboukhlal Z. ↑,
77', Zeffane M. ↓, M'Bahia I. ↑,
77', Caufriez M. ↓, Bela J. ↑,
78', M'Bahia I. 🟨,
79', 0 - 3, Sierro V. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
83', Gboho Y. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
87', Dallinga T. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
90+3', Virginius A. ↓, Kyei G. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 2.

Clermont is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Toulouse is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Toulouse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Toulouse have a series of home games.

Toulouse will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Clermont won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
17.03.24	Clermont - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Metz - Clermont	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Clermont - Olympique Marseille	1:5 ✺
25.02.24	Nice - Clermont	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Rennes - Clermont	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLTL
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
15.03.24	Toulouse - Lyon	2:3 ✺
10.03.24	Le Havre - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Toulouse - Nice	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Toulouse - Lille	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Toulouse - Benfica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.09.23	Toulouse - Clermont	2:2
05.03.23	Toulouse - Clermont	0:1
04.09.22	Clermont - Toulouse	2:0
French Ligue 2
30.01.21	Toulouse - Clermont	3:2
19.09.20	Clermont - Toulouse	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
25.10.17	Toulouse - Clermont	4:2

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