Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Troyes		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.25
	1.57	4.2	5	Watch
	1.54	4.15	6.49
	1.59	4.22	5.64
	1.5	4.2	5.8
	1.66	4.15	5.19	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	4.14 ↑ (3.85)	5.45 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
59.9%

Draw
22.8%

Valenciennes
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.5%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Troyes - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Valenciennes will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Alemdar D. (G) 22. Zoukrou B. 5. Tahrat M. (C) 3. Ndiaye A. 8. Boura I. 28. Diop M. 10. M'Changama Y. 27. Dong K. 21. Ilic L. 11. Said R. 14. Elisor S.	16. Louchet J. (G) 44. Kayi Sanda J. 6. Masson J. 14. Cuffaut J. (C) 8. Banse S. 24. Linguet A. 59. Foe Ondoa M. 96. Flamarion 3. Basse S. 10. Venema N. 90. Oyewusi M.
Substitutes
7. Bangre M. 30. Boucher Z. (G) 17. de Preville N. 36. Kohon R. 23. Olaitan J. 15. Palaversa A. 20. Ripart R.	17. Boutoutaou A. 30. Diabate L. (G) 9. Doucoure S. 20. Hamache I. 18. Jung A. 34. Lilepo M. 13. Moursou J.
Coaches
Guion D.	Kantari A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Elisor S. ⚽, Dong K. (A),
40', Basse S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ilic L. ↓, Olaitan J. ↑,
59', Elisor S. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Venema N. ⚽, Foe Ondoa M. (A),
64', M'Changama Y. 🟨,
64', Masson J. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
65', Oyewusi M. ↓, Lilepo M. ↑,
66', Said R. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
72', Venema N. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
73', Foe Ondoa M. ↓, Moursou J. ↑,
77', Dong K. ↓, de Preville N. ↑,
78', Zoukrou B. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
78', Moursou J. 🟨,
81', Flamarion ↓, Boutoutaou A. ↑,
84', M'Changama Y. ↓, Palaversa A. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Valenciennes is Relegated to National

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2.

Troyes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Valenciennes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Troyes is indisputable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Troyes won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
27.04.24	Amiens - Troyes	0:0 ✺
23.04.24	Troyes - Pau	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Angers - Troyes	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Troyes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Auxerre - Troyes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
27.04.24	Valenciennes - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Valenciennes - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Paris FC - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Valenciennes - Pau	1:4 ✺
06.04.24	Annecy - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.10.23	Valenciennes - Troyes	1:1
20.02.21	Valenciennes - Troyes	2:2
24.10.20	Troyes - Valenciennes	1:1
01.11.19	Troyes - Valenciennes	1:0
05.04.19	Valenciennes - Troyes	0:1
03.11.18	Troyes - Valenciennes	4:2
07.04.17	Valenciennes - Troyes	2:0

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