Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 21

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Clermont		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.1	5
	1.9	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.9	3.15	5.31
	1.82	3.15	5.03	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.75
	1.93	3.15	4.99	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	3.11 ↓ (3.38)	4.85 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
50.4%

Draw
30.3%

Ajaccio
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	8.7%	21.7%

Clermont - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clermont: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. N'Diaye M. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 12. Da Silva D. 20. Mwimba J. 31. Diallo B. 25. Gastien J. (C) 7. Magnin Y. 70. Diaby Y. 6. Keita H. 11. Douane M. 26. Bassouamina M.	16. Sollacaro F. (G) 23. Strata T. 88. Bamba A. 5. Vidal C. 12. Huard M. 43. Kouassi A. 25. Anziani J. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 4. Barreto M. 27. Kante A. 22. Soumano M.
Substitutes
22. Armougom Y. 77. Baaloudj M. 37. Diagouraga T. 18. Diedhiou F. 17. Diop O. 30. Guivarch T. (G) 28. M'Bahia I.	31. Ayessa J. 21. Chegra I. 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 9. Santelli B. 20. Youssouf M.
Coaches
Batlles L.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Magnin Y. ↓, Diagouraga T. ↑,
35', Strata T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Diagouraga T. 🟨,
63', Mwimba J. 🟥,
67', Diagouraga T. ↓, M'Bahia I. ↑,
73', Kante A. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Santelli B. (Pen),
78', Diaby Y. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
78', Bassouamina M. ↓, Diedhiou F. ↑,
78', Douane M. ↓, Armougom Y. ↑,
86', Santelli B. 🟨,
90', Soumano M. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Clermont have a series of guest games.

In this match Clermont is a favorite.

There will not play in Clermont: Saivet H. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Campanini T. (Injury) Jacob V. (Leg Injury) Santelli B. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Injury) Youssouf M. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Clermont won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
25.01.25	Lorient - Clermont	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Clermont - Laval	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Martigues - Clermont	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Caen - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Sochaux - Clermont	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWL
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
24.01.25	Rodez - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Ajaccio - Caen	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Bastia - Ajaccio	4:0 ✺
03.01.25	Ajaccio - Annecy	1:2 ✺
13.12.24	Pau - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.11.24	Ajaccio - Clermont	2:0
French Ligue 1
02.04.23	Clermont - Ajaccio	2:1
02.10.22	Ajaccio - Clermont	1:3
French Ligue 2
20.02.21	Ajaccio - Clermont	0:2
24.10.20	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:2
22.11.19	Ajaccio - Clermont	1:1
19.04.19	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:0

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