Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Valenciennes		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.25	2.95	3.45
	2.22	3	3.25
	2.36	3.01	3.61
	2.25	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.29	3.02	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.85)	3 ↑ (2.9)	3.38 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
41.3%

Draw
31.1%

Le Havre
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valenciennes's performance.

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Le Havre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Valenciennes - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valenciennes: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Valenciennes has the most likely position - 19 (7.51%), has project points - 46, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 15 (6.87%), has project points - 48, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has small quality 29, small importance 29, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 1.

Valenciennes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
30.07.22	Bordeaux - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
14.05.22	Niort - Valenciennes	1:2 ✺
07.05.22	Valenciennes - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Paris FC - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
22.04.22	Valenciennes - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWWTT
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
30.07.22	Le Havre - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Le Havre - Troyes	0:3 ✺
16.07.22	Amiens - Le Havre	4:1
French Ligue 2
14.05.22	Guingamp - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.04.22	Valenciennes - Le Havre	0:1
06.11.21	Le Havre - Valenciennes	0:0
08.05.21	Valenciennes - Le Havre	3:5
08.01.21	Le Havre - Valenciennes	0:2
28.10.19	Valenciennes - Le Havre	0:0
10.05.19	Valenciennes - Le Havre	1:0
15.01.19	Le Havre - Valenciennes	4:3

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