Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Pau		Niort

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.23	3.1	3.3
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.34	2.98	3.7
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.27	3	3.52	Watch
	2.23	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.19)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.39 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
41.9%

Draw
30.4%

Niort
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Pau - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Niort will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Pau has the most likely position - 17 (17.71%), has project points - 40, has currently - 27, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (43.85%), has project points - 35, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 23, importance 48, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Pau has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Niort is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pau will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
04.03.23	Amiens - Pau	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Saint-Étienne - Pau	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Pau - Laval	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Pau - Bordeaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
04.03.23	Niort - Rodez	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Paris FC - Niort	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Le Havre - Niort	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Niort - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Niort - Pau	2:1
07.05.22	Pau - Niort	2:2
21.12.21	Niort - Pau	3:0
20.02.21	Niort - Pau	2:1
24.10.20	Pau - Niort	4:1

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