Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Niort		Rodez

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.3	Watch
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.33	3.05	3.15
	2.29	2.95	3.15
	2.38	3.1	3.45
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.29	3.2	3.24	Watch
	2.33	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	3.24 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
40.3%

Draw
30.8%

Rodez
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	35.7%	21.4%

Niort - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Rodez will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Niort: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (27.6%), has project points - 37, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (80%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rodez has the most likely position - 20 (34.71%), has project points - 35, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 22, importance 42, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niort won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Niort could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Niort will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Niort won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Paris FC - Niort	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Le Havre - Niort	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Niort - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Niort - Amiens	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LLWWL
- Rodez AF
Coupe De France
01.03.23	Toulouse - Rodez	6:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Rodez - Bastia	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Valenciennes - Rodez	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Rodez - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
08.02.23	Auxerre - Rodez	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.01.23	Rodez - Niort	1:1
02.04.22	Rodez - Niort	1:1
23.10.21	Niort - Rodez	0:2
01.05.21	Niort - Rodez	1:1
05.01.21	Rodez - Niort	1:1
22.11.19	Niort - Rodez	2:1

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