Match Info

Date: 16 December 2021, Thursday


	Valenciennes		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.5
	4.33	3.3	1.71
	6.5	4	1.47
	5.8	4.2	1.44
	6.94	4.28	1.46
	5.25	3.75	1.55
	7.1	4.25	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↑ (3.52)	4.02 ↑ (3.1)	1.51 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
15.5%

Draw
23.1%

Strasbourg
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

22.7%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.4%	8.1%	86.5%

Valenciennes - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Valenciennes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Strasbourg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
11.12.21	Valenciennes - Paris FC	1:4 ✺
03.12.21	Ajaccio - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
27.11.21	Calonne-Ricouart - Valenciennes	1:4
French Ligue 2
20.11.21	Valenciennes - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
14.11.21	Tourcoing - Valenciennes	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LTWWW
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
12.12.21	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
05.12.21	Nice - Strasbourg	0:3 ✺
01.12.21	Strasbourg - Bordeaux	5:2 ✺
28.11.21	Monaco - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Strasbourg - Reims	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.03.17	Valenciennes - Strasbourg	2:1
01.10.16	Strasbourg - Valenciennes	2:4

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