Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Valladolid		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3
	2	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.03	3.53	3.61	Watch
	2	3.25	3.5
	2.08	3.48	3.66	Watch
	2	3.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 (2.05)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	3.53 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
45.6%

Draw
27.9%

Racing Santander
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.9%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	5.6%	55.6%

Valladolid - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Racing will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Racing (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Racing (2.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Racing (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 3 - 30%). Racing (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. (C) 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 12. Alani I. 6. Lachuer M. 22. Peter Federico 9. Latasa J. 17. Biuk S.	35. Gomez Rodriguez L. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 21. Ramon P. 16. Gonzalez F. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 12. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
1. Aceves A. (G) 34. Aranda J. L. 19. Arnuncio A. 7. Canos S. 36. Dominguez M. 25. Erlien V. 23. Jaouab M. 32. Koke 16. Maroto M. 30. Modesto H. 2. Trilli	8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 44. Fuentes D. 3. Garcia M. 31. Jimenez A. (G) 4. Manu 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M.
Coaches
Tevenet L.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Latasa J. 🟨,
20', Bueno G. ↓, Modesto H. ↑,
23', Puerta G. 🟨,
32', Alani I. 🟨,
43', Lachuer M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alani I. ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
54', Villalibre A. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Tomeo P. ⚽, Lachuer M. (A),
68', Canales P. 🟨,
68', Maroto M. 🟨,
70', Gueye M. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
70', Mantilla A. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
71', Lachuer M. ↓, Canos S. ↑,
71', Latasa J. ↓, Erlien V. ↑,
77', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
81', Tomeo P. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Martin A. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Tomeo P. 🟨,
85', Biuk S. ↓, Jaouab M. ↑,
87', Canos S. 🟨,
90+2', Vicente I. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Valladolid has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Racing is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Valladolid might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Valladolid: Delgado J. (Injury) Garriel I. (Knee Injury) Juric S. (Yellow Cards) Marcos Andre (Injury) Ndiaye A. (Injury) Ponceau J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Racing: Ezkieta J. (Shoulder Injury) Michelin C. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Valladolid: 1.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.25	Eibar - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Valladolid - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Huesca - Valladolid	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Valladolid - Málaga	1:1 ✺
24.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWTL
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.25	Huesca - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Racing Santander - Villarreal	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Cádiz - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Ponferradina - Racing Santander	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.01.24	Valladolid - Racing Santander	3:1
11.11.23	Racing Santander - Valladolid	2:3
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Valladolid - Racing Santander	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.15	Racing Santander - Valladolid	1:4
07.09.14	Valladolid - Racing Santander	3:1

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