Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Munuera Montero J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DGO
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
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Hong-kong	Now Player, Now Sports 2
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Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
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United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, FuboTV, TUDN
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, SportsMax App


	Valladolid		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.7	Watch
	2.9	2.87	2.7
	3	2.95	2.75
	3.1	2.89	2.81
	3.04	2.87	2.8	Watch
	3	2.88	2.7
	3.05	3.01	2.82	Watch
	3	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.64)	2.91 ↓ (3.01)	2.75 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
32.1%

Draw
33%

Mallorca
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

32.8%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	41.2%	41.2%

Valladolid - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Mallorca will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 26.6% – 61%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hein K. (G) 2. Perez L. (C) 35. Juma Bah A. 3. Torres D. 22. Rosa L. 12. Martin M. 15. Comert E. 8. Perez K. 11. Moro R. 14. Latasa J. 18. Machis D.	13. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 21. Raillo A. (C) 6. Copete J. 22. Mojica J. 27. Navarro R. 8. Morlanes M. 12. Samu Costa 10. Darder S. 17. Larin C. 14. Rodriguez D.
Substitutes
28. Chuki 1. Ferreira A. (G) 20. Juric S. 24. Kenedy 9. Marcos Andre 34. Maroto M. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 19. Ndiaye A. 30. Ruiz R. C. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M.	20. Chiquinho 30. Domenech M. 1. Greif D. (G) 3. Lato T. 33. Luna D. 5. Mascarell O. 2. Morey Bauza M. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 18. Sanchez A. 16. Valery 39. Wade S.
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Arrasate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Perez K. 🟨,
26', Morlanes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Machis D. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
51', Perez L. ↓, Ruiz R. C. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Larin C. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
65', Morlanes M. ↓, Mascarell O. ↑,
65', Perez K. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
65', Martin M. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
68', Samu Costa 🟨,
72', Torres D. ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
75', Larin C. ↓, Prats A. ↑,
76', Rodriguez D. ↓, Chiquinho ↑,
76', Darder S. ↓, Valery ↑,
77', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
83', 0 - 2, Valery ⚽,
85', Comert E. 🟨,
86', Navarro R. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Sanchez I. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 2.

Valladolid is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mallorca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mallorca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Valladolid: Ozkacar C. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury) de la Hoz C. (Injury)

There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Injury) Llabres J. (Muscle Injury) Muriqi V. (Muscle Injury) Valjent M. (Knee Injury) Van Der Heyden S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Amallah S. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 32-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
24.09.24	Sevilla - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Valladolid - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Celta de Vigo - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Barcelona - Valladolid	7:0 ✺
28.08.24	Valladolid - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
23.09.24	Betis - Mallorca	1:2 ✺
17.09.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Mallorca - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Leganés - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
27.08.24	Mallorca - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
09.04.23	Valladolid - Mallorca	3:3
07.01.23	Mallorca - Valladolid	1:0
01.02.20	Mallorca - Valladolid	0:1
03.11.19	Valladolid - Mallorca	3:0
Club Friendly
04.08.19	Mallorca - Valladolid	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.18	Valladolid - Mallorca	2:1
31.10.18	Mallorca - Valladolid	1:2

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