Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport LaLiga
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 6
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN+, FuboTV


	Celta de Vigo		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.8	5
	1.72	4	5	Watch
	1.72	3.9	5.09
	1.76	3.82	4.88	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.8
	1.76	4.05	5.03	Watch
	1.72	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.71)	3.88 ↓ (3.91)	5.01 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
55.9%

Draw
24.9%

Valladolid
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

24.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Valladolid aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Celta de Vigo - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guaita V. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 16. Jailson 3. Mingueza O. 33. Sotelo H. 8. Beltran F. 30. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Duran P. 7. Iglesias B.	13. Hein K. (G) 2. Perez L. (C) 15. Comert E. 6. Ozkacar C. 22. Rosa L. 8. Perez K. 12. Martin M. 21. Amallah S. 28. Chuki 14. Latasa J. 19. Ndiaye A.
Substitutes
15. Aidoo J. 23. Allende T. 20. Alonso M. 17. Bamba J. 5. Carreira S. 11. Cervi F. 9. Douvikas A. 27. Fernandez C. G. (G) 6. Moriba I. 25. Rodriguez D. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G)	16. de la Hoz C. 1. Ferreira A. (G) 20. Juric S. 24. Kenedy 18. Machis D. 9. Marcos Andre 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 11. Moro R. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M. 3. Torres D.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Alvarez H. ⚽, Duran P. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Iglesias B. ⚽,
40', Rosa L. 🟨,
41', Alvarez H. 🟨,
45+2', Chuki 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ndiaye A. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
46', Perez K. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
46', Chuki ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Moro R. ⚽, Amallah S. (A),
55', Amallah S. 🟨,
61', Sotelo H. 🟨,
64', Comert E. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
68', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
69', Iglesias B. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
69', Sotelo H. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
76', Duran P. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
76', Jailson ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
82', Martin M. 🟥,
84', Juric S. 🟨,
86', Amallah S. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
89', Rodriguez J. ↓, Aidoo J. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Douvikas A. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celta won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Valladolid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Celta is a favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Dominguez C. (Groin Injury) Gonzalez A. (Red Card) Manquillo J. (Thigh Injury) Ristic M. (Calf Injury) de la Torre L. (Injury)

There will not play in Valladolid: Anuar (Hernia) Ruiz R. C. (Injury) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Ferreira A. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Celta won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Celta won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
01.09.24	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
26.08.24	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	4:3 ✺
23.08.24	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	3:1 ✺
16.08.24	Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	West Ham United - Celta de Vigo	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
31.08.24	Barcelona - Valladolid	7:0 ✺
28.08.24	Valladolid - Leganés	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Real Madrid - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
19.08.24	Valladolid - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Toulouse - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
26.02.23	Celta de Vigo - Valladolid	3:0
19.10.22	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	4:1
28.02.21	Celta de Vigo - Valladolid	1:1
27.09.20	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	1:1
17.06.20	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	0:0
29.11.19	Celta de Vigo - Valladolid	0:0
27.01.19	Valladolid - Celta de Vigo	2:1

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