Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 20

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Asr TV
Africa	Azam Sports 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Angola	Z Sport La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 3, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia, SportsMax App


	Real Madrid		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.18	7	15	Watch
	1.18	7.75	14
	1.18	8	15
	1.12	9.44	15.78
	1.18	7.73	17.35	Watch
	1.18	7.5	15
	1.2	8.4	16.5	Watch
	1.18	8	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↑ (1.14)	7.98 ↓ (9.27)	15.45 ↓ (17.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
81.7%

Draw
12%

Las Palmas
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.1%

10.3%

5.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.9%	9.4%	22.6%

Real Madrid - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 35 - 67.3%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 12 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 54.5% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 17. Lucas (C) 35. Asencio R. 22. Rudiger A. 20. Garcia F. 19. Ceballos D. 8. Valverde F. 21. Diaz B. 5. Bellingham J. 11. Rodrygo 9. Mbappe K.	1. Cillessen J. (G) 4. Alex Suarez 28. Herzog J. 15. McKenna S. 23. Munoz A. 3. Marmol M. 5. Javier Munoz 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F. 19. Ramirez S.
Substitutes
4. Alaba D. 36. Andres C. 16. Endrick 26. Fran (G) 15. Guler A. 39. Lorenzo 13. Lunin A. (G) 23. Mendy F. 31. Ramon J. 18. Vallejo J.	9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 13. Horkas D. (G) 24. Januzaj A. 12. Loiodice E. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 35. Mora I. (G) 27. Pezzolesi V. 11. Ramirez B. 33. Viera Garcia S.
Coaches
Ancelotti C.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Silva F. ⚽, Ramirez S. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
33', 2 - 1, Diaz B. ⚽, Lucas (A),
36', 3 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Rodrygo (A),
45+3', Ramirez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Herzog J. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
57', 4 - 1, Rodrygo ⚽, Garcia F. (A),
58', Munoz A. ↓, Loiodice E. ↑,
58', Moleiro A. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
64', Ramirez B. 🟥,
69', Silva F. ↓, McBurnie O. ↑,
76', Diaz B. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
76', Rudiger A. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
80', Ramirez S. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
84', Ceballos D. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
84', Rodrygo ↓, Endrick ↑,
89', Lucas ↓, Lorenzo ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 4.

Real is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Las Palmas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Muscle Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Modric L. (Yellow Cards) Vinicius Junior (Red Card)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Essugo D. (Yellow Cards) Marvin (Muscle Injury) Viti (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Campana J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:9 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:4 (average 2.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	5:2 ET ✺
Spanish Supercopa
12.01.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:5 ✺
09.01.25	Real Madrid - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.25	Minera - Real Madrid	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.25	Las Palmas - Getafe	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Elche - Las Palmas	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
29.08.24	Las Palmas - Real Madrid	1:1
27.01.24	Las Palmas - Real Madrid	1:2
27.09.23	Real Madrid - Las Palmas	2:0
31.03.18	Las Palmas - Real Madrid	0:3
05.11.17	Real Madrid - Las Palmas	3:0
01.03.17	Real Madrid - Las Palmas	3:3
24.09.16	Las Palmas - Real Madrid	2:2

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