Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ourense CF		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.91	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.93
	4.33	3.5	1.92
	4	3.56	1.83	Watch
	4	3.2	1.91	Watch
	4.27	3.42	1.92	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↓ (5.02)	3.43 ↓ (3.62)	1.91 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
22.8%

Draw
27.6%

Valladolid
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

26.1%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

26.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Ourense CF - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ourense CF will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Valladolid will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guillen P. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 5. Prado M. 15. Zalaya A. 17. Prada R. 8. Ramos J. 6. Fidalgo A. 10. Gil A. 22. Noriega J. 20. Sanchez A. 9. Di Renzo G.	13. Hein K. (G) 2. Perez L. 15. Comert E. 6. Ozkacar C. 3. Torres D. 20. Juric S. 8. Perez K. 11. Moro R. 21. Amallah S. 19. Ndiaye A. 9. Marcos Andre
Substitutes
2. Andrada F. 7. Carbonell J. 4. Carmona F. 14. del Olmo I. 23. Fullana F. 11. Gil A. 16. Juanma Bravo 1. Marqueta R. (G) 21. Raigal J. 3. Sanz H.	23. Anuar 28. Chuki 1. Ferreira A. (G) 35. Juma Bah A. 32. Koke 14. Latasa J. 12. Martin M. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 30. Ruiz R. C. 10. Sanchez I. 5. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Lopez P.	Cocca D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Moro R. ⚽, Amallah S. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Noriega J. ⚽, Di Renzo G. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Amallah S. ⚽, Moro R. (A),
32', 2 - 2, Ramos J. ⚽,
45+1', Hein K. ↓, Ferreira A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Juric S. ↓, Martin M. ↑,
53', 3 - 2, Sanchez A. ⚽,
61', Marcos Andre ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
61', Amallah S. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
61', Perez L. ↓, Anuar ↑,
65', Anuar 🟨,
65', Fidalgo A. 🟨,
67', Perez K. 🟨,
75', Di Renzo G. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
75', Gil A. ↓,
81', Sanchez A. ↓, Fullana F. ↑,
82', Noriega J. ↓, Sanz H. ↑,
90+4', Martin M. 🟨,
90+5', Prada R. ↓, Carmona F. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ourense CF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valladolid is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Real Sociedad B - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Ourense CF - Sestao	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Ourense CF - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LTTWW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
20.12.24	Girona - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
13.12.24	Valladolid - Valencia	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Real Ávila - Valladolid	2:4 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Valladolid - Atlético Madrid	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWL

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