Network on TV: My Network TV (WSBK – Boston, MA)
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Current Win Probability
Vancouver Whitecaps 36.3%
Draw 27.2%
New England Revolution 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
25.4%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
25.8%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vancouver Whitecaps's form might have worsened.
New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vancouver Whitecaps, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
42.9%
23.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps - New England Revolution Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 14 - 33.3%). New England will win (votes: 10 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 42.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9% – 57.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Vancouver has the most likely position - 12 (13.38%), has project points - 41, has currently - 20, has a chance of playoffs (22%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
New England has the most likely position - 4 (12.3%), has project points - 50, has currently - 23, has a good chance of playoffs (70%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (4%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (1%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality38, small importance20, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vancouver won 1.
Vancouver is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches New England is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Vancouver: Gutierrez C.
(Injury)
There will not play in New England: Buksa A.
(Broken ankle)
Polster M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in New England: Kessler H.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Vancouver won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Vancouver won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.
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