The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New England Revolution 36.6%
Draw 28%
Philadelphia Union 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
28.8%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
30.1%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
New England Revolution - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - New England (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Turner M. (G) 23. Sands W. 22. Kohler E. 2. Fofana M. 25. Miller P. 21. Raines B. 10. Gil C. (C) 80. Yusuf A. 41. Langoni L. 11. Turgeman D. 7. Yow G.
18. Blake A. (C) 39. Westfield F. 2. Martinez G. 29. Makhanya O. 26. Harriel N. 19. Vassilev I. 4. Lukic J. 21. Jean Jacques D. 6. Sullivan C. 10. Iloski M. 23. Alladoh E.
Substitutes
4. Beason T. 3. Ceballos B. 77. Fagundez D. 88. Farrell A. 32. Fry M. 33. Parisian D. (G) 8. Polster M. 14. Yueill J. 17. Zambrano M.
28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 9. Damiani B. 51. Jakupovic M. 15. Mbaizo O. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 66. Sundstrom F.
Coaches
Mitrovic M.
Carnell B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Westfield F. ↓, Mbaizo O. ↑,
34', Lukic J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Sands W. (Own goal),
45+2', Vassilev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Langoni L. ⚽, Gil C. (A),
62', Iloski M. ↓, Damiani B. ↑,
62', Alladoh E. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
63', Yow G. ↓, Fagundez D. ↑,
73', Sullivan C. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
73', Vassilev I. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
79', Langoni L. ↓, Polster M. ↑,
85', Anello A. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Gil C. ⚽,
90+1', Turgeman D. ↓, Beason T. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 0.
New England is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Philadelphia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:33. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, New England won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
New England Revolution - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Turner M. (G) 
Fofana M. 
Gil C. (C) 
Yusuf A. 
Langoni L. 
Turgeman D. 
Blake A. (C) 
Martinez G. 
Makhanya O. 
Lukic J. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Alladoh E. 
Fagundez D. 
Mbaizo O. 
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