The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varaždin 55.3%
Draw 25.6%
Lokomotiva Zagreb 19%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.4%
27.1%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
26.1%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varaždin's performance.
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McCrorie R. (G) 8. Duvnjak T. 10. Latkovic A. 23. Maglica F. 22. Mamic L. 21. Posavec I. 6. Puclin D. 14. Puncec R. (C) 20. Sikosek G. 4. Skaricic L. 16. Tepsic N.
32. Savatovic L. (G) 18. Atabaev E. 5. Cabraja M. 28. Djurkovic N. 24. Maric M. 26. Morina D. 25. Smiljanic P. 10. Subotic M. 15. Thaqi D. 4. Triantafyllou A. 29. Vasilj J.
Substitutes
17. Akrap V. 44. Barac M. 12. Bockaj P. 9. Juric S. 5. Lesjak S. 19. Lukanic L. 30. Posinkovic L. 33. Silic J. (G) 38. Tavares I. 11. Uchegbu E. 7. Vuk M.
22. Antunovic M. 9. Belcar L. 20. Cabrajic K. 16. Curkovic L. 6. Fetai F. 2. Gurlica J. . Kayke 21. Kralevski T. 11. Kulusic L. 12. Posavec J. (G) 30. Reic D. 7. Vukovic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Puclin D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Posavec I. ↓, Tavares I. ↑,
46', Puclin D. ↓, Lukanic L. ↑,
59', Morina D. ↓, Cabrajic K. ↑,
64', Maglica F. ↓, Posinkovic L. ↑,
67', Atabaev E. ↓, Belcar L. ↑,
79', Djurkovic N. 🟨,
80', Djurkovic N. ↓, Fetai F. ↑,
80', Vasilj J. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
85', Triantafyllou A. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Skaricic L. ↓, Lesjak S. ↑,
91', Triantafyllou A. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
94', 1 - 0, Tavares I. ⚽,
97', Latkovic A. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
103', Maric M. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
111', Duvnjak T. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
117', Bockaj P. 🟨,
120', 1 - 1, Belcar L. ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Bockaj P. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Cabraja M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mamic L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Vukovic D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tavares I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Belcar L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Vuk M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kulusic L. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Lukanic L. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Thaqi D. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Lesjak S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Cabrajic K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Bookmakers give the edge to Varaždin for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Varaždin has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:23 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Varaždin against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:10 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).
Watch
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McCrorie R. (G) 
Duvnjak T. 
Latkovic A. 
Sikosek G. 
Atabaev E. 
Morina D. 
Triantafyllou A. 
Juric S. 
Tavares I. 
Uchegbu E. 
Fetai F. 
Kayke 
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