Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Vilafranquense		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.45
	2.45	3	2.65
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.9	2.95	2.48
	3.06	3.04	2.65
	2.8	2.9	2.45
	2.86	3.05	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.09)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.53 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilafranquense
32.9%

Draw
30.8%

Varzim
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

19.7%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilafranquense's form might have worsened.

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varzim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	25.9%	59.3%

Vilafranquense - Varzim Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Vilafranquense will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Varzim will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varzim: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Vilafranquense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Varzim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varzim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vilafranquense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilafranquense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
14.03.22	Leixões - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
07.03.22	Vilafranquense - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
27.02.22	Farense - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Vilafranquense - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
14.02.22	Chaves - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLWL
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
11.03.22	Varzim - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Benfica B - Varzim	1:2 ✺
28.02.22	Varzim - Feirense	0:0 ✺
21.02.22	Estrela da Amadora - Varzim	0:0 ✺
17.02.22	Varzim - Farense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.21	Varzim - Vilafranquense	0:2
03.05.21	Vilafranquense - Varzim	1:3
03.01.21	Varzim - Vilafranquense	1:1
05.01.20	Vilafranquense - Varzim	0:3

Vilafranquense - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide