Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 27

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Yurtec Stadium Sendai (Sendai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vegalta Sendai		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4	Watch
	1.8	3.25	3.8
	1.87	3.4	4	Watch
	1.92	3.56	4.35
	1.91	3.41	4.04	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.85	3.46	4.01	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2)	3.42 (3.42)	4 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegalta Sendai
49.8%

Draw
27%

Kagoshima United
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.1%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

21.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vegalta Sendai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kagoshima United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vegalta Sendai - Kagoshima United Predictions

Users Predictions: Vegalta Sendai will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Matsuzawa K. (G) 2. Takada R. 13. Saneto Y. 5. Sugata M. 41. Uchida Y. 23. Arita K. 8. Matsushita Y. 37. Nagasawa K. 14. Sagara R. 98. Eronildo 11. Goke Y.	1. Izumori R. (G) 6. Watanabe E. 4. Hirose K. 23. Okamoto S. 3. Toyama R. 35. Nakahara S. 27. Yamaguchi T. 21. Tanaka W. 34. Suzuki S. 46. Take S. 38. Arita R.
Substitutes
10. Kamada H. 22. Koide Y. 17. Kudo A. 24. Myogan T. 7. Nakajima M. 21. Umeda R. (G) 15. Umeki T.	9. Arita K. 10. Fujimoto N. 17. Hoshi K. 5. Ibayashi A. 19. Inaba S. 13. Matsuyama K. (G) 24. Nagai S.
Coaches
Moriyama Y.	Asano T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Okamoto S. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Goke Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Matsuzawa K. ↓, Umeda R. ↑,
55', Arita K. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
63', Nakahara S. ↓, Arita K. ↑,
63', Take S. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
67', Suzuki S. 🟨,
69', Hirose K. ↓, Ibayashi A. ↑,
69', Watanabe E. ↓, Hoshi K. ↑,
77', Sagara R. ↓, Umeki T. ↑,
77', Uchida Y. ↓, Kudo A. ↑,
82', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Inaba S. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Recent matches Sendai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kagoshima United has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sendai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sendai will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sendai won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
10.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Bangkok FC	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.08.24	Vegalta Sendai - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Tokushima Vortis - Vegalta Sendai	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Fagiano Okayama - Vegalta Sendai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLL
- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
11.08.24	Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Kagoshima United - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
13.07.24	Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	JEF United Chiba - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.05.24	Kagoshima United - Vegalta Sendai	0:1

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