Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano (Rio Claro)


	Velo Clube		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.00	3.50
	2.23	3.00	3.00
	2.07	3.09	3.69
	2.1	2.99	3.61	Watch
	2.05	2.80	3.50
	2.07	2.95	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)	3.48 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube
43.4%

Draw
30.5%

Água Santa
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

32.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

32%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Velo Clube - Água Santa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Velo Clube might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Velo Clube won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Velo Clube won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	Velo Clube - Maricá	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Velo Clube	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Velo Clube - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Velo Clube - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLT
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Serie D
06.06.26	America RJ - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Água Santa - Madureira	4:1 ✺
23.05.26	Água Santa - Pouso Alegre	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Portuguesa - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Portuguesa RJ - Água Santa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	Velo Clube - Água Santa	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
27.02.21	Velo Clube - Água Santa	0:2

Velo Clube - Água Santa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide