Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 11

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ascoli		Parma

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.25	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.15	3.2	2.23
	3.43	2.98	2.49
	3.25	3.3	2.2
	3.24	3.24	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.07)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)	2.29 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
29%

Draw
29.9%

Parma
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.7%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

31.4%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	27.8%	66.7%

Ascoli - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Parma will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 17. Adjapong C. 55. Bellusci G. 14. Quaranta D. 54. Falasco N. 18. Di Tacchio F. 5. Gnahore E. 10. Caligara F. 23. Falzerano M. 30. Nestorovski I. 90. Mendes P.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 3. Osorio Y. 39. Circati A. 14. Ansaldi C. 10. Bernabe A. 8. Estevez N. 98. Man D. 19. Sohm S. 7. Benedyczak A. 13. Bonny A.
Substitutes
1. Barosi D. (G) 40. Bayeye B. J. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 15. D'Uffizi S. 8. Giovane S. 3. Haveri K. 28. Manzari G. 73. Masini P. 20. Milanese T. 7. Millico V. 99. Rodriguez P. 96. Rossi E.	60. Amoran P. 23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 64. Cyprien W. 77. Di Chiara G. 20. Hainaut A. 28. Mihaila V. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.
Coaches
Viali W.	Pecchia F.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Ascoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Parma will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
21.10.23	Lecco - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Ascoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
26.09.23	Ascoli - Ternana	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Cremonese - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTTWT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
20.10.23	Parma - Como	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Venezia - Parma	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Cremonese - Parma	1:2 ✺
27.09.23	Parma - Bari	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Parma - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.02.23	Parma - Ascoli	0:1
17.09.22	Ascoli - Parma	1:3
18.04.22	Parma - Ascoli	0:1
05.12.21	Ascoli - Parma	0:0
16.04.18	Ascoli - Parma	0:1
18.11.17	Parma - Ascoli	4:0

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