Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Venezia		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.2	6.25	Watch
	1.5	4.15	5.9	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6.05	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.52	4.25	6.32	Watch
	1.53	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	4.14 ↑ (4)	6.09 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Venezia
62.1%

Draw
22.5%

Catanzaro
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

23.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

22.5%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Venezia - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Venezia (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 2. Korac S. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 33. Sverko M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 20. Sagrado R. 10. Yeboah J. 9. Adorante A.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 20. Pontisso S. 77. D'Alessandro M. 80. Cisse A. 32. Rispoli F. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 8. Pittarello F.
Substitutes
37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 21. Compagnon M. 32. Duncan A. 7. Fila D. 4. Franjic B. 23. Grandi M. (G) 5. Haps R. 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 48. Sidibe A. 16. Venturi M.	30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 18. Bettella D. 99. Borrelli E. (G) 98. Buglio D. 17. Di Chiara G. 94. Di Francesco F. 14. Liberali M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 21. Pompetti M. 26. Verrengia B.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, D'Alessandro M. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Busio G. ⚽, Adorante A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Svoboda M. 🟨,
62', Pittarello F. 🟨,
65', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
73', Verrengia B. 🟥,
77', Pittarello F. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,
77', Cisse A. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
77', Korac S. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
84', Matias Antonini 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Adorante A. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Brighenti N. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
87', Pontisso S. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
90+1', Adorante A. ↓, Venturi M. ↑,
90+1', Yeboah J. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
90+2', Cassandro T. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Casas A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Venezia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Catanzaro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Venezia is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Inactive) Conde C. (Broken Leg) Franjic B. (Injury) Plizzari A. (Inactive) Schingtienne J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Bashi E. (Inactive) Di Francesco F. (Inactive) Frosinini R. (Red Card) Oudin R. (Inactive) Petriccione J. (Yellow Cards) Pompetti M. (Shin Injury)

We predict that Venezia will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Reggiana - Venezia	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Venezia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Modena - Venezia	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Venezia - Monza	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Avellino - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWT
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Frosinone - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Bari - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Catanzaro - Avellino	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Modena - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.11.25	Catanzaro - Venezia	2:1
01.05.24	Catanzaro - Venezia	3:2
10.11.23	Venezia - Catanzaro	2:1

Upcoming Matches