The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Venezia 38.9%
Draw 31.6%
Chievo 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
31%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
21.1%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Venezia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chievo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
36.7%
23.3%
Venezia - Chievo Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Chievo will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 22.5% โ 57.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Venezia has the most likely position - 5 (100%), has project points - 59, has currently - 59, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a small chance of promoted (11%), has not chance of win league.
Chievo has the most likely position - 8 (100%), has project points - 56, has currently - 56, has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a small chance of promoted (7%), has not chance of win league.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Venezia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.