The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chievo 66.7%
Draw 21.6%
Ascoli 11.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.6%
23.1%
10.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
10.8%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-35.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chievo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ascoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
51.5%
9.1%
39.4%
Chievo - Ascoli Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Chievo will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). Ascoli will win (votes: 13 - 39.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 34.4% โ 68.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
Chievo has the most likely position - 7 (56.6%), has project points - 55, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (93%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has not chance of win league.
Ascoli has the most likely position - 15 (46.54%), has project points - 45, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Recent matches Chievo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ascoli in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Chievo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Chievo have a series of guest games.
In this match Chievo is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chievo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Chievo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.
Watch
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