Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports


	Cittadella		Parma

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.2
	3.3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.5	3.15	2.27
	3.62	3.2	2.28
	3.3	3	2.2
	3.4	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.1	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.06)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	2.24 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
27.6%

Draw
30.2%

Parma
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

31.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	44.4%	50%

Cittadella - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Parma will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 4. Angeli M. 30. Negro S. 24. Carissoni L. 16. Vita A. 23. Branca S. (C) 17. Kornvig E. 10. Cassano C. 7. Pandolfi L. 11. Pittarello F.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 3. Osorio Y. 39. Circati A. 77. Di Chiara G. 10. Bernabe A. 8. Estevez N. 98. Man D. 27. Hernani 7. Benedyczak A. 13. Bonny A.
Substitutes
20. Carriero G. 64. Cecchetto A. 27. Danzi A. 15. Frare D. 9. Magrassi A. 32. Maistrello T. 77. Maniero L. (G) 5. Mastrantonio V. 28. Rizza A. 74. Sanogo A. 6. Sottini E. 18. Tessiore A.	4. Balogh B. 23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 64. Cyprien W. 28. Mihaila V. 21. Partipilo A. 19. Sohm S. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.
Coaches
Gorini E.	Pecchia F.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 0.

Cittadella is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Parma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Parma will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
03.02.24	Brescia - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Cittadella - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Ternana - Cittadella	3:1 ✺
13.01.24	Cittadella - Palermo	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
03.02.24	Parma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Modena - Parma	3:0 ✺
19.01.24	Sampdoria - Parma	0:3 ✺
14.01.24	Parma - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Brescia - Parma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.08.23	Parma - Cittadella	2:0
10.04.23	Cittadella - Parma	0:1
12.11.22	Parma - Cittadella	3:1
11.03.22	Parma - Cittadella	1:1
28.10.21	Cittadella - Parma	1:2
13.04.18	Parma - Cittadella	0:0
12.11.17	Cittadella - Parma	1:2

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