Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday


	Ventforet Kofu		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.55	5.6
	1.63	3.74	6.33
	1.6	3.5	5.8	Watch
	1.63	3.84	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	3.65 ↑ (3.62)	5.74 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
57.9%

Draw
25.7%

Sagamihara
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25.8%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

15.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-23.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ventforet Kofu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagamihara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ventforet Kofu - Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 18).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sagamihara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kofu is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
17.04.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ventforet Kofu	3:3 ✺
10.04.21	Ventforet Kofu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
27.03.21	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Ehime - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLW
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 League
18.04.21	Sagamihara - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
11.04.21	Tochigi - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Sagamihara - Albirex Niigata	2:2 ✺
28.03.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LTTLW

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