Match Info

JAPAN: EMPERORS CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)


	Ventforet Kofu		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.75	1.7
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	4.1	3.75	1.72
	4.59	4.06	1.71
	4.4	3.5	1.67
	4.6	3.96	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.72)	3.77 ↑ (3.4)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
21.1%

Draw
24.4%

Vissel Kobe
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

27.7%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vissel Kobe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Ventforet Kofu - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: Vissel Kobe will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata K. (G) 10. Hasegawa M. 5. Hasukawa S. 16. Hayashida K. 40. Mancha E. 9. Mitsuhira K. 13. Miura S. 19. Miyazaki J. 26. Sato K. 23. Sekiguchi M. (C) 18. Torikai Y.	1. Maekawa D. (G) 19. Hatsuse R. 21. Kawasaki S. 25. Osaki L. 26. Patric J. 16. Saito M. 24. Sakai G. 22. Sasaki D. 3. Thuler 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 14. Yuruki K.
Substitutes
77. Getulio 15. Iijima R. 6. Kobayashi I. 24. Matsumoto N. 99. Utaka P. 4. Yamamoto H. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)	15. Honda Y. 18. Ide H. 2. Iino N. 11. Muto Y. 33. Ogihara T. 10. Osako Y. 28. Tsuboi Y. (G)
Coaches
Shinoda Y.	Yoshida T.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kofu won 1.

Recent matches Kofu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vissel Kobe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kofu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kofu have a series of guest games.

Recently Vissel Kobe have a series of home games.

In this match Vissel Kobe is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Kofu won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Kofu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
29.07.23	Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
22.07.23	Tokushima Vortis - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Ventforet Kofu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Kashima Antlers - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
09.07.23	Fujieda MYFC - Ventforet Kofu	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLWW
- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
22.07.23	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	2:2 ✺
16.07.23	Vissel Kobe - Sagan Tosu	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Vissel Kobe - Júbilo Iwata	5:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
07.07.23	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Vissel Kobe - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
29.10.17	Ventforet Kofu - Vissel Kobe	2:3
Japan J League Cup
10.05.17	Vissel Kobe - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
Japan J1 League
30.04.17	Vissel Kobe - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
02.07.16	Ventforet Kofu - Vissel Kobe	0:3
Japan Nabisco Cup
18.05.16	Ventforet Kofu - Vissel Kobe	0:2
Japan J1 League
27.02.16	Vissel Kobe - Ventforet Kofu	0:2
22.08.15	Ventforet Kofu - Vissel Kobe	1:0

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