Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 28

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.32	3.45	2.29
	3.25	3.29	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.21	3.25	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.38)	3.3 ↓ (3.32)	2.18 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
29.3%

Draw
28.1%

Ventforet Kofu
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

27.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Kofu will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 13. Saka K. 2. Hiramatsu W. 33. Rafael Costa 23. Fukushima H. 22. Aoshima T. 24. Kanbe K. 10. Mori T. 19. Oshima K. 15. Okuda K. 32. Miyazaki K.	88. Shibuya T. (G) 23. Sekiguchi M. 16. Hayashida K. 21. Renato 24. Iida T. 34. Kimura T. 26. Sato K. 7. Araki S. 10. Torikai Y. 15. Iijima R. 99. Utaka P.
Substitutes
16. Hyon R. 9. Ismaila O. 1. Kawata S. (G) 42. Minamino H. 6. Omori S. 5. Otani N. 45. Yamamoto O.	35. Ichinose T. 32. Koh Bong-jo (G) 18. Misawa N. 9. Mitsuhira K. 19. Miyazaki J. 3. Son T. 4. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Kobayashi S.	Otsuka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Sato K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kanbe K. ↓, Hyon R. ↑,
55', Iijima R. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
55', Utaka P. ↓, Mitsuhira K. ↑,
61', Okuda K. ↓, Yamamoto O. ↑,
61', Oshima K. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
74', Miyazaki K. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Rafael Costa ⚽,
78', Renato ↓, Son T. ↑,
87', Fukushima H. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
87', Iida T. ↓, Ichinose T. ↑,
87', Kimura T. ↓, Misawa N. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Torikai Y. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tochigi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kofu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Tochigi - Blaublitz Akita	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tochigi	4:3 ✺
03.08.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Tochigi - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLWTL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	Ventforet Kofu - Kashima Antlers	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Ventforet Kofu - Fujieda MYFC	3:0 ✺
03.08.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
09.03.24	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi	1:2
29.07.23	Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu	3:0
16.04.23	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi	1:0
01.10.22	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi	0:1
08.05.22	Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu	0:0
17.07.21	Tochigi - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
14.03.21	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi	2:1

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