Match Info

Date: 2 November 2020, Monday


	Verona		Benevento

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.4
	2.14	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.25
	2.17	3.72	3.41
	2.15	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.17	3.7	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.04)	3.61 ↑ (3.46)	3.32 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
44.6%

Draw
26.5%

Benevento
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.5%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benevento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	17.4%	21.7%

Verona - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 138 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 84 - 60.9%). Benevento will win (votes: 30 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verona: 52.8% – 69%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Verona has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benevento has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Verona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Benevento is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benevento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Benevento have a series of home games.

Verona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Verona won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Verona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Verona - Venezia	4:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
25.10.20	Juventus - Verona	1:1 ✺
19.10.20	Verona - Genoa	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Parma - Verona	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Verona - Udinese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTLW
- Benevento Calcio
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Benevento - Empoli	2:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
25.10.20	Benevento - Napoli	1:2 ✺
18.10.20	Roma - Benevento	5:2 ✺
04.10.20	Benevento - Bologna	1:0 ✺
30.09.20	Benevento - Inter Milan	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.04.19	Verona - Benevento	0:3
09.12.18	Benevento - Verona	0:1
Italian Serie A
04.04.18	Benevento - Verona	3:0
16.10.17	Verona - Benevento	1:0
Italian Serie B
03.02.17	Verona - Benevento	2:2
10.09.16	Benevento - Verona	2:0

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