Match Info

Serie A - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
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Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
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Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
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Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
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Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
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Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Verona		Genoa

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.38	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.45
	3.45	2.98	2.38
	3.57	2.98	2.44
	3.41	2.98	2.39	Watch
	3.3	2.8	2.3
	3.38	3.08	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.17)	2.99 ↓ (3.13)	2.4 (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
28.3%

Draw
31.9%

Genoa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

30.7%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	44%	40%

Verona - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Genoa will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 44%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 1 - 25%). Genoa (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Verona (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Verona (2.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Genoa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (C) 15. Nelsson V. 5. Edmundsson A. 6. Valentini N. 2. Oyegoke D. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 63. Gagliardini R. 21. Harroui A. 3. Frese M. 18. Bowie K. 16. Orban G.	16. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Junior Messias 32. Frendrup M. 17. Malinovskyi R. 20. Sabelli S. 29. Colombo L. 18. Ekuban C.
Substitutes
73. Al Musrati 7. Belghali R. 70. Cham F. 71. De Battisti D. 41. Isaac 14. Lirola P. 25. Mosquera D. 36. Niasse C. 34. Perilli S. (G) 9. Sarr A. 10. Suslov T. 94. Toniolo G. (G)	4. Amorim 8. Baldanzi T. 70. Cornet M. 21. Ekhator J. 75. Lafont G. 1. Leali N. (G) 3. Martin A. 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 34. Otoa S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 9. Vitinha 13. Zatterstrom N.
Coaches
Sammarco P.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Oyegoke D. 🟨,
31', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Oyegoke D. ↓, Belghali R. ↑,
60', Sabelli S. ↓, Norton-Cuffy B. ↑,
60', Ekuban C. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Vitinha ⚽,
65', Harroui A. ↓, Suslov T. ↑,
71', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Amorim ↑,
79', Junior Messias ↓, Martin A. ↑,
79', Colombo L. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
80', Frese M. ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
81', Vitinha 🟨,
86', Orban G. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Ostigard L. ⚽, Martin A. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 1.

Verona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Genoa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Genoa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Verona: Bella-Kotchap A. (Injury) Serdar S. (Knee Injury) Slotsager T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Masini P. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Verona: Bernede A. (Injury) Lirola P. (Muscle Injury) Lovric S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Genoa: Baldanzi T. (Thigh Injury) Ellertsson M. E. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Verona won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Genoa: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Bologna - Verona	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Sassuolo - Verona	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Parma - Verona	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Verona - Pisa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLT
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Genoa - Roma	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Inter Milan - Genoa	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Genoa - Torino	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cremonese - Genoa	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Genoa - Napoli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Genoa - Verona	2:1
13.04.25	Verona - Genoa	0:0
01.09.24	Genoa - Verona	0:2
07.04.24	Verona - Genoa	1:2
10.11.23	Genoa - Verona	1:0
04.04.22	Verona - Genoa	1:0
25.09.21	Genoa - Verona	3:3

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