Match Info

Serie A - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi (Verona)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
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Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN
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Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
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Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
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Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Verona		Napoli

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.67	Watch
	6.75	3.9	1.55
	6.4	3.55	1.65	Watch
	6.75	3.65	1.68
	6.51	3.72	1.64	Watch
	5.75	3.3	1.62
	6.41	3.69	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.33 ↓ (6.42)	3.63 ↓ (3.81)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
15.1%

Draw
26.4%

Napoli
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

25%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

24.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	5.6%	88.9%

Verona - Napoli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Verona (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Verona (votes: 2 - 25%). Napoli (votes: 6 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montipo L. (C) 5. Edmundsson A. 15. Nelsson V. 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 2. Oyegoke D. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 63. Gagliardini R. 21. Harroui A. 12. Bradaric D. 18. Bowie K. 9. Sarr A.	1. Meret A. (G) 31. Beukema S. 5. Juan Jesus 4. Buongiorno A. 21. Politano M. (C) 68. Lobotka S. 20. Elmas E. 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A. 27. Alisson Santos 19. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
70. Cham F. 3. Frese M. 41. Isaac 25. Mosquera D. 36. Niasse C. 34. Perilli S. (G) 19. Slotsager T. 10. Suslov T. 94. Toniolo G. (G) 6. Valentini N. 90. Vermesan I.	14. Contini N. (G) 6. Gilmour B. 23. Giovane 3. Gutierrez M. 9. Lukaku R. 30. Mazzocchi P. 32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 17. Olivera M. 95. Prisco V.
Coaches
Sammarco P.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Hojlund R. ⚽, Vergara A. (A),
45+2', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
55', Sarr A. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
55', Bella-Kotchap A. ↓, Frese M. ↑,
56', Vergara A. 🟨,
60', Sammarco P. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Akpa Akpro J. ⚽,
69', Conte A. 🟨,
70', Oyegoke D. ↓, Suslov T. ↑,
72', Elmas E. 🟨,
73', Alisson Santos ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
73', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
75', Suslov T. 🟨,
78', Vergara A. ↓, Giovane ↑,
78', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
82', Harroui A. 🟨,
82', Harroui A. ↓, Slotsager T. ↑,
82', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Niasse C. ↑,
90', Juan Jesus 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Lukaku R. ⚽,
90+7', Lukaku R. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verona won 1.

Verona has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Napoli has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Verona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Verona: Al Musrati (Red Card) Belghali R. (Injury) Bernede A. (Injury) Lirola P. (Muscle Injury) Lovric S. (Inactive) Orban G. (Red Card) Serdar S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) Rrahmani A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) McTominay S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Verona won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:42. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Verona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
20.02.26	Sassuolo - Verona	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Parma - Verona	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Verona - Pisa	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cagliari - Verona	4:0 ✺
26.01.26	Verona - Udinese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
22.02.26	Atalanta - Napoli	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Napoli - Roma	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.02.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
07.02.26	Genoa - Napoli	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Napoli - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.01.26	Napoli - Verona	2:2
12.01.25	Napoli - Verona	2:0
18.08.24	Verona - Napoli	3:0
04.02.24	Napoli - Verona	2:1
21.10.23	Verona - Napoli	1:3
15.04.23	Napoli - Verona	0:0
15.08.22	Verona - Napoli	2:5

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