Match Info

Serie A - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	18:00	DAZN France
Germany	18:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Israel	19:00	Sport 2
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	23:00	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 4, Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	00:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Lazio		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	7	Watch
	1.52	4.15	6.9	Watch
	1.58	4.05	6.64
	1.58	3.88	6.33	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6.5
	1.57	3.98	7.14
	1.57	3.8	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	3.94 ↓ (4.07)	6.74 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
61.6%

Draw
24.2%

Cremonese
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.3%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Lazio - Cremonese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lazio (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cremonese (2.30) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (36 of 45 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.31% – 91.69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Cremonese (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. (C) 5. Vecino M. 22. Cancellieri M. 11. Castellanos T. 9. Pedro	1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 55. Folino F. 4. Barbieri T. 33. Grassi A. 38. Bondo W. 3. Pezzella G. 11. Johnsen D. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.
Substitutes
21. Belahyane R. 71. Farcomeni V. 31. Fernandes S. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N.	23. Ceccherini F. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 99. Sanabria A. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 8. Valoti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 20. Vazquez F. 7. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Pedro 🟨,
43', Grassi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Vecino M. ↓, Belahyane R. ↑,
64', Pedro ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
68', Barbieri T. 🟨,
69', Grassi A. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
70', Folino F. ↓, Ceccherini F. ↑,
76', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
76', Johnsen D. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
77', Romagnoli A. 🟨,
80', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
81', Pezzella G. 🟨,
82', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
88', Barbieri T. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
90+2', Gila M. 🟨,
90+4', Ceccherini F. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Lazio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cremonese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lazio is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lazio: Basic T. (Red Card) Dele-Bashiru F. (International duty) Dia B. (International duty) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Hysaj E. (Inactive) Isaksen G. (Muscle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury) Zaccagni M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Cremonese: Bianchetti M. (Head Injury) Collocolo M. (Groin Injury) Payero M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Faye M. (Ankle Injury) Folino F. (Illness) Grassi A. (Muscle Injury) Sarmiento J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
13.12.25	Parma - Lazio	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lazio - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Milan - Lazio	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
13.12.25	Torino - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Pisa - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.05.23	Lazio - Cremonese	3:2
18.09.22	Cremonese - Lazio	0:4
Coppa Italia
14.01.20	Lazio - Cremonese	4:0

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