Match Info

Serie A - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Lazio		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	7	Watch
	1.52	4.15	6.9	Watch
	1.58	4.05	6.64
	1.58	3.88	6.33	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6.5
	1.57	3.98	7.14
	1.57	3.8	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	3.94 ↓ (4.07)	6.74 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
61.6%

Draw
24.2%

Cremonese
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.3%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Lazio - Cremonese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Lazio (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cremonese (2.30) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (36 of 45 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.31% – 91.69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Cremonese (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. (C) 5. Vecino M. 22. Cancellieri M. 11. Castellanos T. 9. Pedro	1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 55. Folino F. 4. Barbieri T. 33. Grassi A. 38. Bondo W. 3. Pezzella G. 11. Johnsen D. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.
Substitutes
21. Belahyane R. 71. Farcomeni V. 31. Fernandes S. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N.	23. Ceccherini F. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 99. Sanabria A. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 8. Valoti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 20. Vazquez F. 7. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Pedro 🟨,
43', Grassi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Vecino M. ↓, Belahyane R. ↑,
64', Pedro ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
68', Barbieri T. 🟨,
69', Grassi A. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
70', Folino F. ↓, Ceccherini F. ↑,
76', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
76', Johnsen D. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
77', Romagnoli A. 🟨,
80', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
81', Pezzella G. 🟨,
82', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
88', Barbieri T. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
90+2', Gila M. 🟨,
90+4', Ceccherini F. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Lazio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cremonese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lazio is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lazio: Basic T. (Red Card) Dele-Bashiru F. (International duty) Dia B. (International duty) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Hysaj E. (Inactive) Isaksen G. (Muscle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury) Zaccagni M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Cremonese: Bianchetti M. (Head Injury) Collocolo M. (Groin Injury) Payero M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Faye M. (Ankle Injury) Folino F. (Illness) Grassi A. (Muscle Injury) Sarmiento J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
13.12.25	Parma - Lazio	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lazio - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Milan - Lazio	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
13.12.25	Torino - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Pisa - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.05.23	Lazio - Cremonese	3:2
18.09.22	Cremonese - Lazio	0:4
Coppa Italia
14.01.20	Lazio - Cremonese	4:0

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