Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	21:30	1TV
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	18:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:00	Disney+, Xsports
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	18:00	DAZN France
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Indonesia	00:00	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	19:00	Sport 2
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV3
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Network, CBS, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
Vietnam	00:00	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Parma		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.7	3.25	2.12	Watch
	4.05	3.26	2.11
	3.91	3.26	2.07	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2.05
	3.97	3.33	2.16
	3.8	3.25	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.64)	3.24 ↓ (3.44)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
25%

Draw
29.6%

Lazio
45.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.6%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

26.7%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.2%	19.2%	61.5%

Parma - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Lazio will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Parma (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Parma (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Lazio (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 3 - 50%). Lazio (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Corvi E. (G) 27. Britschgi S. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 5. Valenti L. 14. Valeri E. 10. Bernabe A. 8. Estevez N. 16. Keita M. 21. Oristanio G. 9. Pellegrino M. 7. Benedyczak A.	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 4. Patric 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 22. Cancellieri M. 11. Castellanos T. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 19. Begic T. 25. Cremaschi B. 32. Cutrone P. 30. Djuric M. 13. Guaita V. (G) 23. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O. 63. Trabucchi N. 37. Troilo M.	21. Belahyane R. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N. 5. Vecino M.
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Zaccagni M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Del Prato E. ↓, Troilo M. ↑,
51', Valeri E. 🟨,
63', Cancellieri M. 🟨,
69', Castellanos T. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
70', Cancellieri M. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
70', Patric ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
70', Oristanio G. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
77', Benedyczak A. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
78', Basic T. 🟥,
78', Estevez N. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Noslin T. ⚽,
86', Keita M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
88', Cataldi D. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lazio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Parma: Circati A. (Leg Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Gila M. (Red Card) Hysaj E. (Inactive) Isaksen G. (Muscle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.32%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
08.12.25	Pisa - Parma	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Verona - Parma	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Parma - Milan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLWT
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Lazio - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Milan - Lazio	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.04.25	Lazio - Parma	2:2
01.12.24	Parma - Lazio	3:1
12.05.21	Lazio - Parma	1:0
Coppa Italia
21.01.21	Lazio - Parma	2:1
Italian Serie A
10.01.21	Parma - Lazio	0:2
09.02.20	Parma - Lazio	0:1
22.09.19	Lazio - Parma	2:0

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