Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Parma		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.7	3.25	2.12	Watch
	4.05	3.26	2.11
	3.91	3.26	2.07	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2.05
	3.97	3.33	2.16
	3.8	3.25	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.64)	3.24 ↓ (3.44)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
25%

Draw
29.6%

Lazio
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.6%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

26.7%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.2%	19.2%	61.5%

Parma - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Lazio will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Parma (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Parma (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Lazio (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 3 - 50%). Lazio (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Corvi E. (G) 27. Britschgi S. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 5. Valenti L. 14. Valeri E. 10. Bernabe A. 8. Estevez N. 16. Keita M. 21. Oristanio G. 9. Pellegrino M. 7. Benedyczak A.	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 4. Patric 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 22. Cancellieri M. 11. Castellanos T. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 19. Begic T. 25. Cremaschi B. 32. Cutrone P. 30. Djuric M. 13. Guaita V. (G) 23. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 17. Ondrejka J. 24. Ordonez C. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O. 63. Trabucchi N. 37. Troilo M.	21. Belahyane R. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N. 5. Vecino M.
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Zaccagni M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Del Prato E. ↓, Troilo M. ↑,
51', Valeri E. 🟨,
63', Cancellieri M. 🟨,
69', Castellanos T. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
70', Cancellieri M. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
70', Patric ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
70', Oristanio G. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
77', Benedyczak A. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
78', Basic T. 🟥,
78', Estevez N. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Noslin T. ⚽,
86', Keita M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
88', Cataldi D. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lazio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Parma: Circati A. (Leg Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Gila M. (Red Card) Hysaj E. (Inactive) Isaksen G. (Muscle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.32%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
08.12.25	Pisa - Parma	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Parma - Udinese	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Verona - Parma	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Parma - Milan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLWT
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Lazio - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Milan - Lazio	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.04.25	Lazio - Parma	2:2
01.12.24	Parma - Lazio	3:1
12.05.21	Lazio - Parma	1:0
Coppa Italia
21.01.21	Lazio - Parma	2:1
Italian Serie A
10.01.21	Parma - Lazio	0:2
09.02.20	Parma - Lazio	0:1
22.09.19	Lazio - Parma	2:0

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