Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vibonese		Casertana

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.55	2.75	2.85
	2.6	2.65	2.75
	2.8	2.75	2.95
	2.7	2.75	2.88
	2.73	2.73	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.82)	2.78 ↓ (2.99)	2.82 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
34.7%

Draw
32.9%

Casertana
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

23.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vibonese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vibonese - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Vibonese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Casertana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casertana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vibonese have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vibonese won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vibonese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
03.03.21	Foggia - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Vibonese - Catania	1:1 ✺
21.02.21	Viterbese - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Paganese - Vibonese	2:1 ✺
07.02.21	Catanzaro - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTLL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
03.03.21	Casertana - Virtus Francavilla	4:0 ✺
27.02.21	Turris - Casertana	2:1 ✺
21.02.21	Casertana - Avellino	0:2 ✺
17.02.21	Catanzaro - Casertana	0:3 ✺
14.02.21	Casertana - Teramo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
02.12.20	Casertana - Vibonese	0:2
23.02.20	Casertana - Vibonese	1:2
06.10.19	Vibonese - Casertana	3:1
24.02.19	Vibonese - Casertana	1:1
29.10.18	Casertana - Vibonese	1:1
11.02.17	Casertana - Vibonese	1:2
25.09.16	Vibonese - Casertana	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
01.11.26	Vibonese - Milazzo	✺
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.26	Giugliano - Casertana	✺

Vibonese - Casertana