The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Turris 18.9%
Draw 27.3%
Casertana 53.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
30.6%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
23.5%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turris's form might have worsened.
Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casertana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turris than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casertana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Turris - Casertana Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Turris will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Casertana will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Casertana: 35.2% โ 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iuliano S. (G) 11. Armiento C. 66. Boli J. 30. Desiato F. 2. Esempio S. 10. Giannone L. 8. Morrone B. 38. Nicolao G. 17. Nocerino L. 19. Parodi G. 27. Porro M.
1. Zanellati A. (G) 30. Bianchi S. 19. Collodel R. 18. Deli F. 37. Falasca M. 44. Gatti R. 6. Heinz J. 4. Kontek I. 32. Paglino S. 27. Proia F. 91. Vano M.
Substitutes
21. Casacchia G. 18. Cavallaro D. 22. Fallani M. (G) 33. Garofalo P. 45. Imparato C. 25. Pisacane P. 31. Sabatino B. 12. Suppa M. (G)
90. Asencio R. 13. Bacchetti L. 93. Bakayoko A. 8. Damian F. 23. Egharevba D. 33. Giugno L. 21. Iuliano F. 12. Pareiko D. (G) 22. Vilardi A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Bianchi S. 🟨,
42', Gatti R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bianchi S. ↓, Damian F. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Kontek I. (Own goal),
51', 1 - 1, Vano M. ⚽,
53', Paglino S. ↓, Egharevba D. ↑,
55', Proia F. 🟨,
58', Proia F. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Vano M. ⚽,
70', Falasca M. 🟨,
76', Morrone B. 🟨,
79', Armiento C. ↓, Pisacane P. ↑,
80', Desiato F. ↓, Imparato C. ↑,
86', Vano M. ↓, Asencio R. ↑,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Turris has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Casertana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Casertana is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Turris won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Turris won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
Italy
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Iuliano S. (G) 
Armiento C. 
Boli J. 
Kontek I. 
Asencio R. 
Pareiko D. (G) 
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