Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Vicenza Virtus		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.8	3	2.55
	2.7	3.1	2.7
	2.85	2.9	2.55
	2.72	3.15	2.92
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.84	3.22	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.32)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.74 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
35.1%

Draw
30.6%

Ascoli
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.3%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

20.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vicenza Virtus's form might have worsened.

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vicenza Virtus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ascoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vicenza Virtus - Ascoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ascoli has the most likely position - 8 (22.69%), has project points - 60, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (64%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Vicenza Virtus is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ascoli is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Vicenza Virtus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
15.03.22	Vicenza Virtus - Parma	0:1 ✺
12.03.22	Monza - Vicenza Virtus	4:0 ✺
06.03.22	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	3:1 ✺
02.03.22	Reggina - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
26.02.22	Vicenza Virtus - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.03.22	Ascoli - Pisa	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	SPAL - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
06.03.22	Ascoli - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
02.03.22	Lecce - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
27.02.22	Ascoli - Crotone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.11.21	Ascoli - Vicenza Virtus	2:1
05.04.21	Ascoli - Vicenza Virtus	2:1
19.12.20	Vicenza Virtus - Ascoli	2:1

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