Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Ascoli		Crotone

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.6
	2.18	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.1	3.05	3.55
	2.16	3.34	3.76
	2.15	3.02	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)	3.14 ↓ (3.24)	3.63 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
43.9%

Draw
30.1%

Crotone
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

21.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ascoli - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Ascoli has the most likely position - 10 (16.52%), has project points - 57, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (38.47%), has project points - 29, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (86%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, small importance 24, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 0.

Recent matches Ascoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crotone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ascoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ascoli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
23.02.22	Brescia - Ascoli	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Ascoli - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Benevento - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
13.02.22	Ascoli - Como	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Ascoli - Perugia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWTL
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
23.02.22	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	3:3 ✺
20.02.22	Lecce - Crotone	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Crotone - Brescia	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Reggina - Crotone	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Crotone - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.10.21	Crotone - Ascoli	2:2
29.06.20	Ascoli - Crotone	1:1
08.11.19	Crotone - Ascoli	3:1
11.05.19	Crotone - Ascoli	3:0
30.12.18	Ascoli - Crotone	3:2
05.03.16	Crotone - Ascoli	2:0
24.10.15	Ascoli - Crotone	0:1

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