Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Vicenza Virtus		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.37
	2.7	3.4	2.5
	2.75	3.1	2.44
	2.98	3.36	2.54
	2.8	3.25	2.45
	2.83	3.42	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.25)	3.32 ↓ (3.32)	2.46 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
33.5%

Draw
28.3%

Parma
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

20.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vicenza Virtus's form might have worsened.

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+23.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	27.5%	59.4%

Vicenza Virtus - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 9 - 13%). Parma will win (votes: 41 - 59.4%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 27.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 47.8% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Parma has the most likely position - 12 (22.54%), has project points - 50, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Parma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
12.03.22	Monza - Vicenza Virtus	4:0 ✺
06.03.22	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	3:1 ✺
02.03.22	Reggina - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
26.02.22	Vicenza Virtus - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
22.02.22	Cremonese - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLWT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
11.03.22	Parma - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Parma - Reggina	1:1 ✺
02.03.22	Monza - Parma	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Parma - SPAL	4:0 ✺
22.02.22	Pisa - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.11.21	Parma - Vicenza Virtus	1:0

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