Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Vicenza Virtus		Brescia

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.35	Watch
	2.87	3.25	2.4
	2.95	3.25	2.4
	2.95	3.1	2.36
	3.17	3.51	2.34
	3.7	3.3	2
	3.1	3.35	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.42)	3.29 ↓ (3.32)	2.31 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
30.4%

Draw
28.7%

Brescia
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.2%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

21.6%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vicenza Virtus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vicenza Virtus - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Brescia has the most likely position - 1 (16.01%), has project points - 64, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a chance of win league (16%).

Vicenza Virtus has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brescia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vicenza Virtus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
06.11.21	Ascoli - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
01.11.21	Parma - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
27.10.21	Vicenza Virtus - Monza	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Ternana - Vicenza Virtus	5:0 ✺
16.10.21	Vicenza Virtus - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
06.11.21	Brescia - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
01.11.21	Benevento - Brescia	0:1 ✺
28.10.21	Brescia - Lecce	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Brescia - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Perugia - Brescia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.05.21	Vicenza Virtus - Brescia	0:3
04.01.21	Brescia - Vicenza Virtus	0:3

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