Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Cittadella		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.95
	1.93	3.11	4.4
	1.95	3.19	3.86	Watch
	2	2.9	3.6
	1.98	3.22	3.94	Watch
	1.94	3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.84)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	4.01 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
47.3%

Draw
29.7%

Novara
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

29.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Cittadella - Novara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Zanellati A. (G) 25. Cecchetto A. 55. Redolfi A. 44. Gatti R. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 18. Pavan N. 8. Amatucci F. 30. De Zen R. 99. Castelli D. 91. Falcinelli D.	1. Boseggia E. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 26. Lorenzini F. 15. Khailoti O. 72. Agyemang G. 10. Donadio C. 8. Di Cosmo L. 99. Basso G. 17. Dell'Erba D. 7. Lanini E. 9. Alberti T.
Substitutes
7. Anastasia E. 90. Bunino C. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 10. Casolari F. 14. Crialese C. 9. Diaw D. 6. Djibril A. 23. Egharevba D. 17. Gaddini M. 40. Gobbato M. 21. Rabbi S. 28. Rizza A. 15. Verna L. 16. Vita A.	32. Andreotti R. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 3. Lartey S. 11. Ledonne N. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 90. Perini G. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R. 70. Valdesi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Khailoti O. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Alberti T. ⚽,
25', Castelli D. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Basso G. ⚽,
43', Khailoti O. 🟨,
45+6', Cecchetto A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Alberti T. ↓, Citi A. ↑,
46', Gatti R. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
46', De Zen R. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
46', Castelli D. ↓, Anastasia E. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Redolfi A. ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, Falcinelli D. ⚽,
61', Cecchetto A. ↓, Vita A. ↑,
63', Lanini E. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
68', Vita A. 🟨,
71', Falcinelli D. ↓, Bunino C. ↑,
79', Redolfi A. 🟨,
80', Basso G. ↓, Ranieri R. ↑,
80', Dell'Erba D. ↓, Valdesi A. ↑,
82', Boseggia E. 🟨,
83', Lorenzini F. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 2.

Cittadella is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Novara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cittadella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cittadella could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cittadella won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
05.12.25	Trento - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
01.12.25	Cittadella - Brescia	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lecco - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Cittadella - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWWW
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.12.25	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Novara - Renate	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Alcione - Novara	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Novara - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Cittadella - Novara	3:1
Italian Serie B
11.02.18	Cittadella - Novara	1:3
16.09.17	Novara - Cittadella	1:0
11.02.17	Novara - Cittadella	1:1
17.09.16	Cittadella - Novara	3:1
01.03.14	Cittadella - Novara	2:2
24.09.13	Novara - Cittadella	2:2

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