Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Venezia		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.5
	1.75	3.5	4.45
	2.12	3.34	4.04
	1.00	16.26	30.00	Watch
	1.75	3.56	4.66	Watch
	1.76	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)	5.35 ↑ (3.64)	8.09 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Venezia
65.5%

Draw
20.7%

Frosinone
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venezia's performance.

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frosinone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Venezia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frosinone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Venezia - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Frosinone will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 20%). Frosinone (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Frosinone (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Frosinone (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 2. Korac S. 33. Sverko M. 19. Bjarkason B. 8. Doumbia I. 6. Busio G. 21. Compagnon M. 10. Yeboah J. 71. Perez K. 9. Adorante A.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 3. Calvani G. 30. Monterisi I. 79. Bracaglia G. 8. Koutsoupias I. 92. Kone B. L. 14. Calo G. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 32. Masciangelo E.
Substitutes
37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 7. Fila D. 18. Hainaut A. 5. Haps R. 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 22. Plizzari A. (G) 20. Sagrado R. 48. Sidibe A. 30. Svoboda M. 16. Venturi M.	16. Cichella M. 2. Cittadini G. 77. Dixon D. 6. Gelli J. 18. Grosso F. 12. Lolic E. (G) 24. Ndow A. 21. Oyono J. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 27. Raychev A. 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Compagnon M. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
15', Palmisani L. 🟨,
16', Yeboah J. (Pen),
16', 2 - 0, Yeboah J. ⚽,
32', Kone B. L. 🟨,
35', Sverko M. 🟨,
41', Busio G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Doumbia I. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
46', Adorante A. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
46', Kone B. L. ↓, Grosso F. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Casas A. ⚽, Sverko M. (A),
56', Masciangelo E. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
63', Calo G. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
63', Raimondo A. ↓, Vergani E. ↑,
64', Sverko M. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
70', Monterisi I. 🟨,
70', Casas A. 🟨,
72', Compagnon M. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
82', Busio G. ↓, Bohinen E. ↑,
82', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Raychev A. ↑,
84', Cichella M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 2.

Recent performances by Venezia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Frosinone is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Frosinone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Venezia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Venezia: Conde C. (Broken Leg) Franjic B. (Injury)

There will not play in Frosinone: Biraschi D. (Inactive) Corrado N. (Inactive) Gori L. (Inactive) Hegelund V. (Inactive) Kvernadze G. (Red Card) Selvini A. (Knee Injury) Sherri A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Barcella K. (Inactive) Marchizza R. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Palermo - Venezia	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Venezia - Spezia	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Verona - Venezia	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie B
20.09.25	Venezia - Cesena	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Pescara - Venezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWWLT
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.09.25	Frosinone - Cesena	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Mantova - Frosinone	1:5 ✺
Coppa Italia
23.09.25	Cagliari - Frosinone	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
19.09.25	Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Padova - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.03.23	Frosinone - Venezia	3:0
14.10.22	Venezia - Frosinone	1:3
Coppa Italia
15.08.21	Venezia - Frosinone	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie B
06.02.21	Frosinone - Venezia	1:2
03.10.20	Venezia - Frosinone	0:2
08.02.20	Venezia - Frosinone	0:1
20.09.19	Frosinone - Venezia	1:1

Upcoming Matches