Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brianteo (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	22:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Net4+
India	19:30	GXR World
Indonesia	21:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Sport 4
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	08:00	Disney+
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV5
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	17:00	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 4
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	17:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	ON Plus
International	14:00	Disney+, Onefootball


	Monza		Parma

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.5
	3.05	3.35	2.32
	3.13	3.11	2.54
	3.02	3.37	2.37	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	3.22	3.35	2.37	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.96)	3.27 ↑ (3.12)	2.38 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Monza
30.9%

Draw
29.1%

Parma
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

30.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	34.3%	54.3%

Monza - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Parma will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Turati S. (G) 13. Pereira P. 4. Izzo A. (C) 33. D'Ambrosio D. 19. Birindelli S. 11. Castrovilli G. 42. Bianco A. 18. Zeroli K. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 17. Balde K. 47. Mota D.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 46. Leoni G. 5. Valenti L. 14. Valeri E. 10. Bernabe A. 8. Estevez N. 16. Keita M. 98. Man D. 32. Pellegrino M. 11. Almqvist P.
Substitutes
7. Akpa Akpro J. 2. Brorsson A. 10. Caprari G. 84. Ciurria P. 20. Forson O. 6. Gagliardini R. 35. Ganvoula S. 3. Lekovic S. 55. Martins K. 69. Mazza A. (G) 22. Palacios T. 37. Petagna A. 21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 8. Urbanski K. 80. Vignato S.	4. Balogh B. 13. Bonny A. 23. Camara D. 40. Corvi E. (G) 20. Hainaut A. 61. Haj Mohamed A. 27. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 33. Marcone R. (G) 17. Ondrejka J.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Leoni G. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Izzo A. ⚽, D'Ambrosio D. (A),
63', Man D. ↓, Haj Mohamed A. ↑,
64', Estevez N. ↓, Hernani ↑,
64', Leoni G. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
71', Almqvist P. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
72', Haj Mohamed A. 🟨,
72', Birindelli S. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
72', Castrovilli G. ↓, Akpa Akpro J. ↑,
80', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Lekovic S. ↑,
80', Bianco A. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
82', Bernabe A. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Bonny A. ⚽, Keita M. (A),
86', Zeroli K. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
87', Hernani 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).

Monza has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Parma is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Monza: Akpa Akpro J. (Injury) Caldirola L. (Injury) Carboni A. (Thigh Injury) Ciurria P. (Broken nose) Gagliardini R. (Thigh Injury) Sensi S. (Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Benedyczak A. (Ankle Injury) Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Circati A. (Knee Injury) Djuric M. (Knee Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury) Mihaila V. (Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Monza: Izzo A. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Monza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
08.03.25	Inter Milan - Monza	3:2 ✺
02.03.25	Monza - Torino	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Roma - Monza	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Monza - Lecce	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Lazio - Monza	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
08.03.25	Parma - Torino	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Udinese - Parma	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Parma - Bologna	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Parma - Roma	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Cagliari - Parma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.12.24	Parma - Monza	2:1
Italian Serie B
02.03.22	Monza - Parma	1:1
17.10.21	Parma - Monza	0:0

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