Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Parma		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.87	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.95
	2.3	3.3	3
	2.42	3.1	2.9
	2.58	3.3	2.97
	2	3.25	3.8
	2.42	3.34	2.88	Watch
	2.33	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.07)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	3.03 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
39.9%

Draw
29%

Reggina
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parma's form might have worsened.

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reggina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	32%	20%

Parma - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Reggina will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Parma has the most likely position - 1 (18.41%), has project points - 65, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a chance of win league (18%).

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 3 (8.98%), has project points - 59, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 40, importance 56, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Parma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reggio Calabria is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Parma will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Parma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
08.10.22	Pisa - Parma	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Parma - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Parma - Ternana	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Genoa - Parma	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWLT
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
08.10.22	Reggina - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Modena - Reggina	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Reggina - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
10.09.22	Pisa - Reggina	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Reggina - Palermo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.03.22	Parma - Reggina	1:1
24.10.21	Reggina - Parma	2:1

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